[Galaxy Research Director: Probability of Passing the 'Clarity Act' by 2026 Lowered from 75% to 60%] According to Golden Finance, on June 6, Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn stated that he has lowered the expected probability of the 'Clarity Act' being passed by 2026 from 75% to 60%. He believes the issue does not lie with the bill itself. The bill previously received bipartisan support and successfully passed the committee with a vote of 15 in favor and 9 against. The real issue lies in the legislative schedule of the U.S. Senate. Thorn pointed out that the 'Clarity Act' must be passed by both the House and Senate before Congress begins its summer recess (August Recess) at the end of July. Otherwise, as midterm election factors gradually heat up, the likelihood of the bill passing in the fall will significantly decrease. He further stated that the Senate lost a week of legislative time due to matters related to the 'Anti-Weaponization Fund,' and the reauthorization bill for the 'Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act' (FISA) failed to pass last night, which will occupy a large portion of the Senate's agenda next week. Additionally, the **Ethics Provisions** in the bill remain unresolved. He expects Republican Senators Josh Hawley and Rand Paul to vote against it, meaning the bill will need the support of at least 9 Democratic senators during the full Senate vote to pass. Thorn believes that if Senate leadership cannot clearly commit to scheduling the bill for a full Senate vote within the next two to three weeks, the path to passing the bill will be forced to narrow to a post-September recess push, about which he remains cautious.