上海米哥(蓝V回关)|6月 05, 2026 04:28
BTC is waiting to resonate with the stock market. My ideal scenario is the AI bubble bursts, and both the US stock market and Bitcoin crash together.
History always has an uncanny way of repeating itself. On October 6, 2025, BTC could hit a peak of $126,200. Following historical patterns, after the four-year halving cycle, the peak is followed by a one-year crash to the lowest point.
In December 2017, Bitcoin peaked at $20,000, then crashed for a year to its lowest point. By December 2018, Bitcoin had dropped over 85%, falling below $3,000. In November 2021, BTC peaked at $69,000. Then it crashed for a year, and by November 2022, it had plunged 77%, hitting a low of $15,600. This time, with the four-year halving cycle, by around November 2026, BTC will likely hit its lowest point, dropping 50%-77%. That puts the price in the $40,000-$60,000 range. If it drops 65%, the price would be around $45,000, with the lowest point near $40,000. Based on signals from previous bull and bear market bottoms, around November 2026, it’ll be a good time to buy the dip for long-term positions.
The next halving is on April 20, 2024, and the one after that is in 2028. The 2028-2029 period will be a super bull market. Patience is key!
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