Short Weekly Report on Bitcoin Market: Weak rebound, with a probability of 80% of a major downward trend in June Tonight's weekly report is simple but has high practical value and value. Let's get straight to the point: Key signals for the market and market: (1) The longest continuous outflow in ETF history (over 2.97 billion US dollars in 10 days), institutions are withdrawing. (2) The concentration of $73000-74000 is a leveraged long position of $300 million. If the price falls below this range, it will trigger a chain liquidation. (3) 74200-74250 has been verified three times as a short-term iron peak, with limited rebound height, and will continue to short in subsequent rebounds. (4) The fear index is 35, with a long/short ratio of 2.23 (high in 2026), indicating an extreme bullish sentiment that historically suggests a pullback. (5) Trump tightens the terms of the US Iran agreement and is still playing games. Formally signed pulse height is limited. (6) The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in June is 75%, and there will be a clash between FOMC and the Bank of Japan on June 16th. (7) The World Cup is about to start in June, and every time the World Cup starts, the probability of Bitcoin plummeting is very high! Action principles and warm reminders: (1) The fifth wave of decline is being realized, cautious long in the bearish trend; (2) 74500-75500 is an empty order plus warehouse area, not a reason for chasing after multiple orders (3) 72000-72500 is the key defensive position in the 4-hour chart. This position is the lower edge of the box after the five waves of decline, and it is also the low point tested multiple times in recent times. Once it effectively falls below, it means that the box structure has been damaged and the decline will accelerate. (4) If it falls below the 72000-72400 range within four hours, you can increase your position without waiting for 71000. I am writing an in-depth analysis of the Bitcoin market titled 'Four fold bearish sentiment simultaneously stacked, BTC is experiencing the most complex bear market in history. Will this time be different?'? 》Please stay tuned. BTC, Bitcoin, Three Dimensional Integrated Trading Analysis: The 5th Wave of ETFs Open, Continuous Outflow of Japan's Interest Rate hikes, World Cup