一粒聪|Apr 30, 2026 04:17
Current state of the bears:
1. Futures negative premium has hit an all-time low;
2. The longest streak of negative funding rates in history—over 40 consecutive days.
Even the 2022 FTX collapse wasn’t this extreme
Normally, this would signal a market turning point.
But right now, it’s institution-driven hedging behavior (e.g., MSTR arbitrage strategies, fund redemption period hedging, etc.).
This is structural bearishness, not emotional, which is why we’re seeing a disconnect between positive news and price action.
With this kind of market, it’s getting harder and harder for retail investors to play!
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