加密前线(糖哥)|4月 29, 2026 14:27
Trend Continuation - BTC
Recently, many friends have been asking about Tang Ge's views on ETH and SOL, not because he is lazy and doesn't write, but because there is no need to operate too much in the entire market. If it weren't for the need to post, I wouldn't even bother to write about BTC. Therefore, I have been advising everyone to read more and move less before.
The most important thing when operating a market trend is to first understand what kind of trend we are in, and then prescribe the right medicine. In fact, these issues were clearly stated before the trend turned, but the memory of the cryptocurrency circle is only 7 days. My previous article is considered outdated, so I will repeat some paragraphs.
Since September 26, 2024, when the market was booming, Sugar Brother wrote his first letter to everyone, reminding them to "beware of forming a historical peak"; On December 28, 2024, the price entered the first downward relay in the bearish trend for the first time; Until the current repeated "second downward sideways trend in the bearish trend of prices", the overall idea is running within the script and there has been no significant deviation. Including many high and low point judgments inside each box, they were also eaten.
Taking the above historical thinking into account the current volatility, the price is still in the second downward sideways trend of the bearish trend, rising to the 80000 mark, which is the composite suppression starting point of the form and moving average system. Further up to the area of 84100 to 86500, the suppression in this sense will only be stronger, and the higher it is at this stage, the greater the overall risk.
Of course, prices usually do not go to these areas because the top is the army of trapped chips from the end of November last year to the end of January this year. The main players usually do not release these chips in a short period of time. On the contrary, they continue to smash the market, and then the time type bearish grinding makes their cleansing method of cutting meat lower in cost (this method usually starts from the high point and takes more than a year to make sense, and it needs to make the pursuers of the high point feel heartbroken and like they are in a different world. At this stage, they will let go of their fantasies and give up their faith at the bottom, thus cutting meat).
Going too far, everyone can draw analogies. Don't take it seriously, Sugar Brother is just talking nonsense!
Therefore, within the current box, there is no need to directly engage in an upward game for spot goods. Instead, it is sufficient to reserve the idea of bullish and bearish breaks. Duojun is a high-level operation against the trend, but it is not necessary to do it. If possible, try to control it within 15 minutes until the price returns to a low level, and then consider 4H level operations.
In the overall situation, in order to avoid major losses, it is necessary to use a further downward thinking approach to view the market (see the diagram for the thinking). The details of the trend are constantly changing, please refer to the daily article for specific analysis. Due to time constraints, that's all for now. If you have any questions, please feel free to leave a message.
The original intention of writing this article was that Tang Ge saw that some of his friends had a strong willingness to trade and wanted to advise everyone to take a break. Not operating is also an operation. As a person, one should learn to let go of oneself, otherwise it is easy to be backfired by one's own desires.
I also want to remind everyone that the trend rebound in bearish trends will not change the bearish trend (at least for now), and the suppression before breaking through will always be suppression. Don't chase after the rise. Other words are also similar warnings, so I won't say much.
Of course, it's not about going long or short. You just need to understand what you need, when it's good to do it, and when it's not. Once you've done well in one direction, don't go with the flow! BTC
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