The first negotiation between the United States and Iran is highly likely that the United States did not have an advantage. The 15 terms submitted to Iran did not receive any response, and instead Iran gave the United States 5 new terms. Among them, I think war reparations cannot be passed. If they are passed, it means that the United States admits that it is wrong. In order to prevent the United States from expanding the war, Iran has recently stated that if the United States attacks its territory or islands, it may close the Strait of Mandeb. Mandeb and Hormuz together are 25% of the world's oil supply. At present, Trump has never let up and the war has not stopped. But Trump has always said that Iran has "admitted" and said that before Trump's visit to China in the middle of May, the war will be over, which means there is about six weeks left. However, the impact of rising oil prices has already begun to emerge. Although it has not been announced yet, there are already reports that USPS is preparing to impose an 8% fuel surcharge on all packages to offset the increase in fuel costs. This represents that inflation is starting to be directly affected by the war. If the war cannot end yet, it may even go further. It is really possible for the United States to raise interest rates in 2026, and the probability of recession will also increase significantly at that time. Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, the recent trading volume and turnover rate have been declining, indicating that investors are gradually losing interest in the current market. From the price trend, it is true that BTC prices have been fluctuating around $70000 since February, and even the amplitude has gradually narrowed. This is also a good thing, indicating that small-scale negative information is no longer enough to shake investors' confidence. Bitget VIP， Lower rates and more generous benefits