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星球日报
星球日报|Mar 18, 2026 18:26
[Economist: The Federal Reserve's forecast is overly optimistic, potentially repeating the old mistake of 'overestimating inflation, underestimating drag'] Odaily Planet Daily reports that Annex Wealth Management Chief Economist Brian Jacobsen stated the real 'highlight' lies in the Summary of Economic Projections. They are merely guessing what might happen to oil prices but are predicting inflation will rise by 0.3 percentage points without any substantial drag on growth. This forecast may be overly optimistic. This is similar to their past overestimation of the impact of tariffs on inflation while underestimating the drag on economic growth. 2026 could be like the past two years, with shocks catching them off guard, ultimately leading to rate cuts in September. (Jin10)
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Timeline

Apr 16, 11:01Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice in the second half of the year.
Apr 15, 13:02Hammack believes interest rates are in a good position
Apr 15, 12:15The Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates
Apr 14, 09:01Geopolitics impacts global liquidity
Apr 10, 11:41Gold is in a long-term bullish trend, and the price of gold may reach $5,800 by the end of the year.
Apr 10, 08:14The Federal Reserve will release the balance sheet.
Apr 10, 06:31Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin will reach $575,000
Apr 08, 18:02Support for not cutting interest rates at the Federal Reserve meeting
Apr 08, 13:12The market is still reluctant to significantly price in Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Apr 07, 01:19The Impact of Global Monetary Policy on Cryptocurrency

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