These past few days, the market has been disrupted by one thing: whether the United States will hit Iran or not? Let me tell you, the most disgusting thing about this geopolitical risk is that it's not slowly mentally prepared for you, it's a sudden bomb in the middle of the night that wakes up the entire market instantly. First, let's talk about the current behavior in the cryptocurrency industry. Many people think that fighting Bitcoin can turn it into digital gold, and immediately seek safe haven to pull the market? Too naive. BTC is currently hovering around 63000, and during the day it was hit at 62673, with the highest reaching 66356. At first glance, this trend is not a trend, but rather the funds inside are trampling on each other, with many military and air forces betting and running. ETH is even worse, hovering around 1818 and almost breaking 1800 when it fell from 1931 within the day. Do you understand? This market is not betting on direction now, it's about who can run faster. As soon as the cannon sounds over there, the trader's first reaction is: close the position first, reduce the position first, and save their life first. Assets with heavy leverage and high volatility are the first to be cut. So don't blame the cryptocurrency industry for being timid, this is a routine operation during liquidity crises. Let's take a look at the real safe haven assets - gold and silver. This comparison is too obvious. If funds really want to avoid risks, their first reaction is to rush towards gold. The more nervous there is, the harder the gold becomes. What about the cryptocurrency circle? Jumping up and down like a monkey. It's not a matter of who is good or bad, it's about the different functions of each tool in the market. Gold is a safe haven, and Bitcoin is now a high-powered emotional amplifier. Do you want to ask me what I think about the next two to three days? To put it bluntly: Firstly, keep an eye on whether the situation over there is escalating or cooling down. As long as geopolitical risks remain, it's a dream for the cryptocurrency industry to rebound, and every time it pulls up, it's just giving money to bears. Secondly, let's see if BTC can stand firm at 63000. If the low point is getting lower and lower, it means that the market is still passively deleveraging, and the number of positions that have been liquidated has not yet been exhausted. Don't rush to buy at the bottom. Thirdly, observe the expressions of the US dollar and gold. The macro environment is not relaxed, and it is too difficult for the cryptocurrency industry to stand up alone. I won't prove any point at this time, now it's just waiting - waiting for the situation to become clear, or waiting for the leverage to be cleared first. If you really want to operate, remember one sentence: surviving is more important than betting on the right one. Take a lighter position and a better position, don't get slapped back and forth in this kind of oscillation. Finally, give the person the following sentence: If there is really a promotion over there, the first reaction of the cryptocurrency circle will definitely be to start trading on Douyin and Douyin first, rather than pulling the market to make money for you first. Don't fantasize about heroes emerging in chaotic times. In this market, losing less money means making a profit.