路遥 | Trader|Jan 18, 2026 12:27
Weekend chit-chat~
The boring market feels like someone hit the pause button...
I think the key to trading isn’t about who can perfectly buy at the absolute bottom and sell at the absolute top,
but about who can survive long-term amidst high volatility and uncertainty,
and skillfully capture those “phased” fluctuations with high probability to “buy low and sell high” for profits, while managing stop-losses properly.
The past few bull and bear cycles have repeatedly proven that the biggest risk in the crypto market has never been missing out,
but rather overconfidence, heavy leverage, and blind faith in so-called “safe assets” or “certainty narratives.”
The core task during a bear market isn’t making quick money,
but controlling drawdowns, protecting your capital, and identifying assets with true long-term value and liquidity.
Short-term price swings are more often a result of liquidity games or emotional reactions to news, not a sudden collapse of fundamentals.
Keep an eye on long-term narratives, like the Fed’s monetary policy, crypto tech innovations, and so on.
Leverage, frequent trading, and high-expectation heavy bets will only amplify mistakes at this stage.
On the other hand, gradually building positions, reducing exposure, and accepting imperfect entries can help maintain enough patience and resilience.
The market will always present opportunities, but only if you’re still at the table.
When emotions are extreme, narratives collapse, and the majority lose confidence,
that’s when the real trends and long-term returns quietly start to take shape!
Remember:
Protect your capital.
Protect your capital.
Protect your capital.
Waiting is a critical part of any trading system.
So, at this stage, I think staying put is also a solid strategy!
btc
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