貝格先生🐢|1月 05, 2026 01:47
AVIV Heatmap Latest Data Update: Do We Dare to Repeat the Green Zone Again
Continuing the content of the following quote, after nearly three weeks,
Today, I will report the latest AVIV Heatmap data to you all
AVIV Heatmap can be regarded as a periodic thermometer for BTC,
Provided extremely high validity in the market discrimination stage, detailed principles can be found in the following link :
https://(((x.com)))/market_beggar/status/1942759255385465186
Enter the main text below :
As usual, let's first briefly introduce the core principles of the indicators themselves:
➡️ The full name AVIV Heatmap is a model that I personally designed
➡️ AVIV can be regarded as the "profit multiple of active chips" and is an optimized version of MVRV
➡️ AVIV Heatmap is a model designed using the mean regression property of AVIV
➡️ The concept comes from Cointime Economic methodology (proposed by Ark and Glassnode)
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As shown in the attached figure, the regions represented by different color blocks on the AVIV Heatmap are:
Red: "Above 129729"
Orange: "113671~129729"
Yellow: "81555~113671"
Green: "65497~81555"
Blue: "Below 65497"
Kind reminder: Data is dynamic rather than fixed
Since the temporary bottom of the 11/21 sharp decline, BTC has consistently fluctuated in the range of 80-95K,
And during this period, there was no day's closing price that was at the level of 'green' 」 Regional;
On the day of 11/21, only the "pins" were inserted into the green area.
BTC has been above yellow for over 2 years since October 2023,
If we put it in the past, this is basically unimaginable,
Because there has been a deep pullback in every cycle in history, BTC has easily returned to the blue and green regions.
The AVIV indicator itself measures the concept of 'profit multiple',
If it continues to remain in 'yellow' 」 Above, it indicates that there is always pressure from profit makers in the market,
In simpler terms, it means that the car always has some weight, which can easily create resistance to rising.
As of now, considering my technical bias (https://((x.com))/market_gegar/status/2005454366976566605),
If BTC really chooses to directly raise instead of hunting for liquidity below,
I personally think that there is a greater possibility of a 'rebound',
Because as long as the liquidity below is not cleared, it will always have a gravitational effect on the price,
The upward target at that time may not be seen too high.
On the contrary, if BTC can have a Stop Hunt as I wish before a significant increase,
Then I will directly set the target level for the rise as' at least the red zone ' 」,
Because at this point, I am more inclined towards BTC bottoming out successfully, and reaching a new high is the basic requirement.
But no matter what, currently none of us have a crystal ball, so it's impossible to predict the future,
From a trading perspective, what we can do is to see and take action, and fight and go.
I prefer to wait until BTC breaks free from its current wide range of fluctuations,
Hold the BTC with a bottom price of 82.5K (https://((x.com))/market_gegar/status/1991780406572835107) until a new signal appears.
Finally, if the Shallow Bear script is falsified and BTC undergoes deeper corrections,
At that time, 'green' 」、 Even 'blue' 」 Regions may no longer be a luxury .
That's all for today's content. In the new week, I wish everyone smooth trading
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