Haige's Daily Observation 20251214: Today, a total of 32 indicators were observed: 5 are bullish, 8 are bearish, and 12 are uncertain. Among the key sell indicators, 1 is bullish, 4 are bearish, and 2 are uncertain. Over the weekend, since the U.S. stock market is closed, many indicators temporarily shift to an "uncertain" status. Liquidity in the crypto market continues to drop to a terrifyingly stagnant state, like a dead pond. However, in reality, the Federal Reserve has already injected a significant amount of liquidity into the market, which should be reflected once the U.S. stock market opens tomorrow. Key points to highlight regarding today's indicators: 1) Overall contract positions across the network have somewhat recovered, but CME contract positions remain sluggish, indicating that a long-term trend has yet to form; 2) The Trump TACO indicator includes three key points: hopes for interest rates to drop below 1% within a year, a sharp increase in the probability of Walsh being elected as the next Fed Chair, and acknowledgment that the midterm elections may not necessarily result in victory. Considering these factors, Trump might pull off a major move in 2026 to reduce uncertainties in the later stages; 3) Regarding whale holdings, the number of addresses holding over 100 BTC has decreased by more than 400 from previous highs, suggesting that quite a few Bitcoin OGs are still offloading their holdings. The market is generally in a state of intermittent shock, as Bitcoin's 24/7 trading clashes with Wall Street's weekend downtime. Next, we need to closely monitor next week's yen interest rate hike. I'll provide a brief analysis in the next post.