比特傻|Dec 14, 2025 13:50
When people aren't making money, it's easy for conflicts to arise.
This is just how economic laws work.
When everyone's making money, a lot of conflicts in partnerships can be covered up.
We need to avoid falling into these unproductive conflicts and keep thinking critically.
Every time there's market divergence, you can see top institutions and experienced analysts making completely opposite predictions.
This shows that predictions are unreliable, and relying on them for investments will always lead to losses.
What's important is to have your own judgment, allocate your positions accordingly, and add a safety net in case you're wrong.
A stubborn personality will eventually lead to big losses in investing—it's just a matter of time.
But when it comes to public expressions in the community, the more stubborn you appear, the better.
If you're not stubborn, it looks like you lack confidence in yourself.
Retail investors will think you're not trustworthy.
Retail investors don't care—there's more than one path to the future, but most people will never understand the world of probability distributions.
Retail investors don't care—blindly following others equals guaranteed long-term losses.
That's why you'll see many investors making stubborn public statements, but their actual investment operations are extremely flexible, and they admit mistakes very quickly.
There's a well-known KOL who's been publicly bullish all along and is still acting stubborn.
But privately, he told me he's actually worried the bear market has already arrived and has sold off most of his holdings.
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