AiCoin
AiCoin|12月 05, 2025 07:13
[‘Time’ Person of the Year Prediction Market Experiences Intense Volatility, Unusual Moves by Trader Draw Attention] On December 5, the prediction market for ‘Time’ Person of the Year on Polymarket experienced intense volatility. Previously, the probability for the ‘AI’ option had climbed to 54%, while Jensen Huang dropped to 17%. However, starting yesterday, the probability for ‘AI’ fell to 38%, while Jensen Huang rose to 32%. The unusual trading behavior of trader goingsocial is believed to be the trigger for the volatility. They suddenly sold 25% of their ‘Yes’ position on ‘AI’ at market price, incurring a loss, and shifted to buying the Jensen Huang option, driving its probability upward. goingsocial’s position value in this market exceeded $70,000, far higher than their previous average position size ($1,600). Subsequently, they continued to buy less popular options, causing the related probabilities to surge nearly 100% in a short period.
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