Yuuki|Dec 01, 2025 04:51
"The prisoner’s dilemma for global fund managers: unwinding yen carry trades has triggered the biggest nuke for global risk assets.
This morning, following the Bank of Japan’s rate hike remarks, we saw a simultaneous rise in Japanese bond yields and the yen’s exchange rate against the dollar.
In the past, global hedge funds collectively borrowed tens of trillions of ultra-low-interest yen (almost 0 interest) and converted it into dollars to buy massive amounts of U.S. risk assets, including U.S. stocks and $BTC.
Now, with the Bank of Japan announcing rate hikes + the yen surging, this has led to skyrocketing borrowing costs + ballooning repayment amounts → fund managers receiving margin call notices → selling off risk assets to reduce positions.
The result:
You sell dollars to buy yen → the yen appreciates even more → borrowing costs for others rise → more people get liquidated → more people dump dollar assets → the yen appreciates even more crazily!
This isn’t just a normal drop;
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