仲达说
仲达说|11月 29, 2025 03:43
Every major silver bull market in history has been driven by a falling gold-to-silver ratio (GSR): • 2011 peak: GSR ≈ 39 • 1979 super bull: GSR = 15–20 • Normal bull market range: GSR = 40–60 Right now, gold is at 4200, silver at 56: GSR is as high as 75 (extremely high). Once silver catches up, the ratio will quickly converge. If gold hits 6000 in the next 3 years, what will silver look like? 2. Silver pricing with gold at 6000 (calculated based on different GSR stages): ① GSR returns to the "normal bull market range" (60): Silver = 6000 ÷ 60 = $100 This is the most conservative and easiest target to achieve. ⸻ ② Returns to the 2011 bull market range (GSR 40): Silver = 6000 ÷ 40 = $150 This is the main price range for silver during gold's rise to 6000. ⸻ ③ Supercycle (GSR 30): Silver = 6000 ÷ 30 = $200 This is the typical endpoint of a super bull market. ⸻ ④ 1979 anomaly (GSR below 20): Silver = 6000 ÷ 20 = $300 (Historically, silver has seen a GSR of 15–20.) (PS: The silver bull market has just begun!)
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