
qinbafrank|Nov 26, 2025 16:12
Like here in the morning https://(x.com)/qinba frank/status/1993491739601256904? S=46&t=k6rimWSEbo2D2TXolYcM-A. When it comes to the probability of interest rate cuts, the loose trading driven by the expectation of interest rate cuts should be able to last until early December. However, the US stock market only traded at 3:30 pm this week, and the liquidity of the US stock market was slightly weak during the shutdown. So there is still a possibility of reaching 90000, but the probability of being able to stand firm is not high.
Although driven by interest rate cuts, this expectation is relatively weak due to the fact that a significant drop requires time to recover, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has pushed us out of the short-term bottom but is not as strong. The market still needs to confirm:
If the hawks cut interest rates, how strong would the hawks be?
What is the forecast for next year's interest rate trend?
What will be the data released in mid December (emphasizing that inflation trends determine the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rates)?
Can liquidity return to the median value of the past three years in the future? https://((x.com))/qinbafrank/status/1991005823351611431? s=46&t=k6rimWsEbo2D2tXolYcM-A
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