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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|10月 29, 2025 16:03
**[Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan's Outlook on the Federal Reserve Meeting]** BlockBeats News, October 30: Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan shared their forward-looking views on Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve meeting. **Bank of America's View on Powell and the Federal Reserve Meeting:** Due to limited official data and mismatched labor market and consumer data, Powell is unlikely to provide further economic guidance after this meeting. The statement may indicate a "solid" rebound in economic activity. Possible dissenting opinions: Milan (suggesting a 50 basis point rate cut) or hawkish objections from Goolsbee/Schmid. Quantitative tightening will end immediately. Powell's press conference may focus on the disparity between consumer and labor market data, and market reactions will depend on his interpretation of strong consumer performance. Expected future rate cut timeline: October, June, September, and December 2026. **Goldman Sachs' Comments on the Federal Open Market Committee:** The market's focus may be on the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) assessment of how close its policy is to a neutral level, with quantitative tightening (QT) being a critical factor. It is highly likely that QT will end at this meeting. Future rate cut plan: 25 basis points each in October and December, with two more cuts in 2026, targeting a rate range of 3% to 3.25%. **JPMorgan on the Federal Open Market Committee:** The market broadly expects rate cuts, and even hawkish Federal Reserve officials have not challenged market expectations. The statement is expected to remain largely unchanged—economic activity remains solid, but job growth is slowing, and inflation remains high. Milan may oppose a 50 basis point rate cut; quantitative tightening will end immediately. Powell will frame easing policies as risk management and will not provide guidance on policy direction for December. Future rate cut plan: 25 basis points each in October, December, and January.
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Timeline

11月 26, 01:17The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected.
11月 25, 03:10Market sentiment has improved due to expectations of interest rate cuts.
11月 25, 02:34Powell may decide to cut interest rates but signal no further rate cuts in the future.
11月 24, 18:54Expectations for a rate cut in December are increasing.
11月 24, 13:27Federal Reserve's Waller supports a rate cut in December
11月 22, 14:26The current policy is in a moderately tight range.
11月 21, 00:54Risk of asset price collapse when the Federal Reserve discusses rate cuts
11月 19, 19:03Federal Reserve meeting minutes show disagreement over rate cuts
11月 19, 06:51Trump's intervention in the Federal Reserve may lead to U.S. economic stagflation
11月 16, 12:12Fed meeting minutes will reveal the direction of interest rates

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