In the live broadcast of the language community: the collision of interest rate meetings and non-agricultural data! Slash ETH with a butcher's knife? Next 3000?

Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 The Federal Reserve swings its' eagle claws', ETH's cold light suddenly appears On the early morning of July 30th, as expected, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with a 98% chance of remaining inactive and ultimately landing at 17. Despite repeated pressure from Trump to cut interest rates, strong employment data and inflation stickiness have led Powell to choose a hawkish stance, and the liquidity valve expected by the market has not yet been opened. After the announcement of the resolution, ETH fell below the $3700 mark, with a slight drop of 0.21% in 24 hours, to $3832, indicating a hidden danger in the long short tug of war. 179 million yuan liquidation and bloodbath! Pledged lock up becomes a double-edged sword Last night, ETH staged a shocking scene: the price plummeted to $3673, triggering a multi order clearing of $179 million across the entire network, and high leverage long positions suffered a bloodbath. On chain data shows that the sharp decline was caused by the "hunting trap" set up by the giant whale at $3600-3700, coupled with the liquidity depletion caused by staking and locking positions - currently over 640000 ETH (approximately $2.34 billion) are queued for release, exacerbating short-term selling pressure. Strangely, institutions such as BlackRock used ETF channels to crazily attract funds, increasing their holdings by 27000 ETH (about $100 million) in a single day, playing the classic script of "retail investors cutting meat, institutions buying bottom". Tomorrow night's non farm nuclear explosion! ETH's fate hangs in the balance The Federal Reserve's decision is only a prelude, and the real "butcher's knife" hangs over the July non farm payroll data to be released tomorrow night at 20:30. If employment growth slows down and hourly wages cool down, the market may bet on a rate cut in September, and ETH is expected to take advantage of the situation to counterattack; On the contrary, if the data is hot, hawkish expectations will push prices into the abyss. On the technical side, ETH has reached a critical point: $3677 below is the stop loss line, and losing it could trigger a 10% level drop; The bull market needs to break through $4025 above to restart. The options market is showing signs of unease - a large number of investors are buying BTC's $110000 put options for hedging, while ETH's risk reversal indicator is flattening, indicating a mountain of selling pressure around $4000. The choice in the eyes of the storm Tonight's non farm payroll will determine whether ETH becomes a "hawkish sacrifice" or a "rate cutting pioneer". When data collides with policies, the butcher's knife has been raised - and the hand holding the knife is in the shadow of Wall Street and the main force Operation suggestion: - BTC 117000 long. First target: 117950. Second target: 118500; ETH 3740 long first target to see 3795 second target to see 3830 Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Every day, there are teachers in the group who arrange precise positioning to answer questions and provide free guidance Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.