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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|7月 15, 2025 03:44
Something does not add up here: The Bank of Japan currently has a policy rate of 0.50% and Japan has a Debt-to-GDP ratio of 250%+. Meanwhile, Germany has a policy rate of 2.25% (4.5x higher) and a Debt-to-GDP ratio of just 62% (1/4 of Japan's). However, 30Y Government Bonds in Germany and Japan both yield ~3.2%. If you think Japanese bond yields are high, the market says we are just getting started. What is happening here?
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