加密前线(糖哥)
加密前线(糖哥)|Jul 07, 2025 09:59
How to easily find reason in complex emotions Content word count: 900 Reading time: 1 minute I plan to stop updating the video and talk about it when I have the chance in the future. However, regarding this market, there are some things that I haven't said before. I want to explain them to my fans. If you often watch videos, you will understand what it means. History is always astonishingly similar, but it does not rigidly repeat itself. History has recorded countless painful lessons, but the most famous one is that people never follow the lessons of history. So history has always been astonishingly similar. If high-end technical analysis only requires simple analytical methods, then efficient experience summarization only requires simple statements of facts. Taking my rough experience of crossing multiple rounds of bull bear transitions as an example, whether it's mainstream or knockoff, there are similar signals when encountering obvious trend transitions: (1) Bottom: Whenever the overall environment of this market is at a low point after a continuous decline, and the main force needs to attract funds, the price fluctuations always narrow infinitely, with more bullish and less bearish. In order to intimidate the poor three melons and two jujubes in the hands of retail investors, the trend is usually disguised as a downward trend, and there are always various negative effects. Experience and strategy: When the price is at the bottom and various negative factors emerge one after another, but the price does not keep up with the decline, it is the time when the news hits the bottom. So don't be scared by low bearish sentiment, the new low at this stage may be a historical low. If you want to dance with Zhuang, you should firmly hold onto the long-term chips. (2) At the top, whenever the overall environment of this market is at a high level after a continuous rise, and the main force needs to sell, the price fluctuations are always fierce, with more yin than yang. The trend is usually disguised as an upward trend, and in order to encourage retail investors to actively accept the market, there are always various favorable factors. Experience and strategy: When the price is at the top and various good news emerge one after another, but the price does not keep up with the rise, it is the time when the news is at its peak. So don't fantasize about your grand life vision amidst the favorable news of high positions. The new high at this stage may be a historical high, and if you want to dance with Zhuang, reduce your long-term holdings and leave. Finally, what Tang Ge wants to say is that this is a zero sum game market, where everyone is thinking about how to make money from others' pockets, and everyone's wealth will eventually match their own abilities. Don't fantasize about others showing mercy; Don't easily believe what others say. Philosophy: Nesting is not a gift, but to attract schools of fish; The bait on the fishing hook is not kind-hearted, but a toilet for stewing the fish into an iron pot and then excreting it. Also, it is necessary to have a basic understanding of time cycles and space: Time cycle: Either there are 24 hours in a day, or the sun and moon alternate once, or a new day begins to cycle. That is natural time and belongs to the Tao of Heaven. We need to find the way to trade. 15 minutes can be a cycle, and 2 years can also be a cycle. You need to find this way. Space period: Find their reasonable corresponding fluctuation ranges in the 15 minute or 2-year cycle above. Simply put, having only a statement without a specific point is guessing, and having only a point without a statement is gambling. Trading always focuses on where to buy and sell, and how long to take it? BTC
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