
加密前线(糖哥)|Jun 16, 2025 08:50
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 06/16
The previous text indicated that BTC was suppressed at 106120, and the extreme points of the two weekend highs and lows were both in this area, which is in line with expectations. With the breakthrough at the end of the small level bonding, the next step is to consider the opportunity for a second surge in the small level after the price drops.
From the 12H to the daily trend, the easing of the market has released the downward energy after last week's price drop, allowing the price to return to the oscillation range with 110000 as the upper track. It should be noted that this is only a return to the original oscillation range and does not currently have the conditions for a trend driven surge.
From the perspective of the 4H trend, the low points where prices have intensively retraced in the past three days are all at the position of the lifeline battle method MA250 in this level, and there was an upward departure segment at noon, breaking through the constraints of the short-term moving average band and giving the price the possibility of further impact towards 108800.
From the 15 minute to 1H trend, it can be seen that the moving average system has more or less diverged towards the bullish side, and the center of gravity of the K-line has also shifted upward. However, the situation of the price continuing to rise after a small range of continuous increases is unclear. It is recommended to intervene in the market when the horizontal or lifeline strategy is met at this level.
Summary: In the high-level trend, the price did not show enough "big opportunities", but there is an opportunity to bring the price back to the upper track of the original oscillation range. Overall, the current price is close to suppression, and there is not much room for operation. Try to wait for the opportunity for the price to explore the lower level. From the perspective of levels below 1H, the short-term structure is more ideal than last weekend, but due to overall structural constraints, there is no significant opportunity. It is recommended to fast in and out when the lifeline strategy is met at levels below 1H.
Monitor the moving average: 30 minute MA30, 15 minute and 4H MA250
Short term form suppression: 108433~110250, short-term support: 106288~105710 (slow decline can enter, fast in and fast out), second support: 102224~101372 (short-term sharp decline can be hung up),
Radical order: Enter a small position at current price of 107075, replenish the position at a ratio of 1:2 on short-term support, take profit with reference to short-term suppression, and stop loss with reference to 105050.
The long-term hanging strategy of 98610~96700 outside the existing range and the long-term strategy of 11~13% downward with the ability to grab another order will remain unchanged for 30 days, BTC
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