
Phyrex|May 03, 2025 18:11
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold some assets again in the first quarter of 2025 for more cash, and the current cash flow has reached a historical high of $347.7 billion.
The giant whale has already started raising larger amounts of cash, and as a dead bull of the US dollar, Buffett is also saying that he can hold other currencies. And regarding the recent volatility in the risk market, I believe that "if Berkshire's stock price falls by 50%, I will see opportunities instead of fear
---What I said at the beginning may not be correct---
The upcoming market is likely to have both opportunities and risks, and the economy may not be as good as we imagine. Continuing to maintain high interest rates will inevitably increase the risk of recession.
Since 1945, there have only been two instances in which the US federal funds rate has exceeded 4.5% without experiencing an economic recession. Although there was no economic recession in 1966, it was a significant economic downturn, and only in 1984 did it go smoothly without affecting the economy.
And there have been nine times in history where interest rates have exceeded 4.5%, including seven times when the economy has either declined or experienced a significant downturn, and only one time when it has been successfully overcome. So, is this time an exception?
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