I haven't talked about WTI for almost a week. I originally thought it would just pass, but then the U.S. and Iran started fighting again. The main reason is that the U.S. has been guiding ships to take the southern route protected by the U.S. However, Iran does not allow any ships that cannot use the northern route to pass, as the ships cannot take the traditional middle channel, and the mines have not yet been cleared.

After the U.S. launched an attack on southern Iran, Iran carried out a drone attack on the U.S. military at the Sheikh Isa Air Base in Bahrain.

Subsequently, the U.S. State Department stated that Iran had failed to fulfill its obligations, so it would cancel the exemptions from these sanctions, such as allowing Iran to sell oil, and is prepared to re-implement these sanctions starting July 17.

Notice this timing, which is ten days from now. I don't know if it will TACO, but why do I feel the probability of TACO is quite high?

I have re-ambushed WTI at the $75 issue. Theoretically, the current position of less than $73 is also acceptable, but considering that even if it is smooth in the short term, it will only maintain around $68, it doesn't mean much. So I will wait a bit longer, at least until it passes $73.

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