I just closed the remaining 25% of my position, the third round of shorting WTI is completely finished, with a total profit of around 75%. Although it's not as high as the second round, considering that the highest price in the third round didn't even reach 100 dollars, it's still acceptable.

I saw some friends in the comments saying that the US and Iran will not completely cease fire, so oil prices will definitely surge. I think this line of thinking isn't necessarily wrong, but its correctness is limited. Just when I was writing this tweet, I did notice that the conflict between the US and Iran has slightly intensified.

But this time I didn't even catch my ambush order at 90 dollars, which indicates that the market doesn't believe that war will truly rekindle, or at least the market still thinks that the US and Iran are exercising some restraint.

To take a step back, even if oil prices rise, the potential for increase is very limited. Since the beginning of the war, WTI has not exceeded 120 dollars, most of the time it has been in the range of 90 to 100 dollars. So it’s quite simple, just short at high points.

I have already done three rounds, and in each round, the highs are getting lower and the lows are getting lower. What about going long?

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