Just like I said yesterday, the back-and-forth between the United States and Iran has been ongoing. Today was yet another tumultuous day, first with news that the U.S. was ready to take action against Iran, causing WTI prices to soar above $105, and then reports that Iran submitted a revised ceasefire agreement, leading oil prices to drop back below $100. Next, the U.S. opposed this agreement, and Iran established a new department to publicly announce the management of the Strait of Hormuz.

At this point, I really have lost my temper. I do not understand how the U.S. and Iran can endure such back-and-forth negotiations. The U.S. blockade of Iranian ports has significantly impacted Iran's economy, while Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz affects inflation in the U.S. and even globally. Continuing this stalemate will not benefit either side, and certainly not the world.

I remember the IEA initially analyzed that the issue in the Strait of Hormuz would be resolved by the end of May at the latest. There are about 10 days left now, and continuing like this could indeed lead to negative outcomes. If WTI oil prices continue to stay above $100, inflation in May is bound to rise further, and in June's interest rate meeting, not even the king himself could push for a rate cut.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, as previously mentioned, the price fluctuations of $BTC are still determined by the U.S. stock market, especially the changes in technology stocks. The trend of the U.S. stock market is closely linked to the U.S. economy, macro factors, and politics. From the data, it is indeed evident that short-term speculators in Bitcoin are decreasing, while long-term investors are gradually increasing.

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