Recently, doing daily homework has been a headache. I've been holding a short position in WTI and also collecting some funding fees. Today, I added more to my position, bringing both cost and volume up a bit. My opinion has always been that although things are lively now, neither the United States nor Iran intends to escalate the situation. Trump's taco and Iran's not-so-hardline stance have already indicated this. During the peak of the US-Iran war, oil prices barely approached 120 dollars.

This indicates that as long as the liquidation price does not exceed 120 dollars or slightly higher, and the United States and Iran aren't actually fighting again, the opportunity for holding a short position in WTI will be greater. Of course, if the United States and Iran engage in hostilities again, or even upgrade their weapons, that would be another story. Currently, my position isn't large, so I will maintain a small short position and observe.

Currently, although Trump keeps assuring that he can resolve the war issues in the short term, I estimate that it will be difficult to achieve before May. The longer it drags on, the worse the impact may be for Trump.

Turning to Bitcoin data, there was a surge yesterday that almost broke 80,000 dollars, mainly due to the postponement of the ceasefire between the United States and Iran. As mentioned yesterday, without any follow-up positive news, it will be challenging to sustain an increase. Today, not only is there no new positive news, but the United States has also dispatched a third warship, while Iran has begun "drills," and Israel is also on the move. Therefore, a slight decrease in the price of $BTC is also normal.

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