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I don't want Bitcoin to go down

CN
Caleb Franzen
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5 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

I don't want Bitcoin to go down.

Because in the short-term, it means I get poorer.

But this is the game of investing... we sacrifice short-term status for long-term status, and must be willing to endure periods of hardship for a brighter future.

So I simply try to flip the mindset, embrace that I'm going to get poorer (most likely), and figure out the best way to increase long-term status.

In aggressive downtrends for high-beta assets, that means patience.

That's why I get so frustrated at the permabull influencers on this platform, always finding a new way to justify that the "bottom is in" or "up only from here" or [insert your favorite one-liner].

They induce greed when patience is needed.

They induce fear of missing out.

These emotions are antithetical to your success as an investor.

Sure, if you really don't care what price does this week, this month, this quarter, and this year, just set your DCAs and forget about it so that you can enjoy your life, focus on your family, career, hobbies, etc.

But if you actually want to try to optimize your performance as a long-term investor, then you must embrace an endurance mindset.

You cannot succumb to greed or FOMO.

You must have a plan and execute on it, based on data.

You must be willing to adapt, if the data adapts.

You must be willing to put your feet to the fire.

I cannot stress this enough.

It's why I wrote "The Bear Market Playbook" in Nov.'25...

I wanted to ensure that as many investors as possible had a practical, useful, and data-backed approach to surviving the bear market and understanding the psychological aspects of a downtrend that will make or break their ability to survive.

That's the key word in this environment... survival.

If you can't survive the bear market, then, by definition, you won't be there to enjoy the bull market.

Do everything you can to survive.

Uninstall X.

Unfollow influencers.

Find actual people who put their name, face, and reputation on the line, using a well established process to navigate constant uncertainty.

If there's anything that I can do (more than I'm already doing) to contribute to your ability to survive in this market environment, please let me know.

I'm here to add value.

I'm here to share my process and my conclusions.

I'm here to help and contribute.

I'll leave you with this...

Would you rather be a samurai in a garden, or a gardener on a battlefield?


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Selected Articles by Caleb Franzen

27 days ago
Listen..
27 days ago
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