2.25 market situation goes straight up and down, starting to harvest leeks?

CN
4 hours ago

Cryptocurrency News

February 25 Hot Topics;

1.Meta plans to relaunch stablecoin project in the second half of 2026

2.Vitalik: DeFi is a crucial part of Ethereum's core values, and we will reclaim the early spirit of DeFi in the future

3.Strategy becomes the most shorted stock in the U.S., holding a paper loss of about $7 billion in Bitcoin

4.Crypto.com donated $35 million to a super PAC supporting Trump over the past year

5.Federal Reserve officials: Interest rates are likely to remain unchanged for some time; further cuts require evidence of inflation dropping to 2% target

Trading Insights

1. About Waiting (The Waiting) "Trading is mostly boring. If you find it exciting, you are losing money." Don’t stare at the screen all day. Grabbing the screen and staring at it will make it stare back at you and consume you. A good hunter spends most of their time waiting. They wait for the wind to change, wait for the prey to lower its head to drink water. Don’t fixate on the market. Let the market crash into you like a reckless drunk. When you have nothing to do, do nothing. Being in cash is also a position. 2. About Stop Loss (The Cut) "A stop loss is your only friend. Although this friend sometimes bites you." Have the courage to admit mistakes. Most people lack the courage. Watching the deficit grow is like watching a wound rot while praying for a miracle. Miracles do not happen. Bad toes happen. When you make a mistake, cut it immediately. Don’t worry. Don’t try to fix it. Pay the bill, try to buy a lesson, and then strive for honor. As long as the green mountains remain, you need not worry about having no firewood. 3. About Leverage (The Leverage) "Leverage is borrowed courage. It is not yours." In that crappy contract market, leverage is like poor quality drugs. It makes you feel like you are doing nothing and smarter than the market. But it will give you a splitting headache when you are sober. Bet with what you can afford. If that trade keeps you awake at night, then you are betting too large. Only when you can sleep can you win. 4. About News and Noise (The Noise) "Don’t listen to them. They sell newspapers, not truth." In this circle, some sell news, some analyze charts, and some boast about insider knowledge. Plug your ears. Just look at two things: price and volume. Price is fact. Volume is power. The rest—macro analysis, institutional upgrades—are usually lies or smokescreens for retreats. 5. About Essence (The Sea) "The market is like the ocean. It is not cruel, it is just indifferent." Don’t be angry with the market. Don’t try to get back at Bitcoin. It doesn’t care about you. It doesn’t even know you exist. If you are knocked over by the waves, it is because you didn’t see the tides clearly, or your boat was too rotten. Accept it. Clean your wounds. Set sail again. 6. Respect for the Unknown (The Respect for the Unknown) "Only a fool believes he can master every K-line. A wise person knows that when the wind rises is determined not by the weather station, but by the sea." Sometimes, you buy not because of a MACD golden cross, but because that morning’s coffee tastes just right or the wind outside changed. Is this mysticism? No, this is animal instinct. In the jungle, the ones who live the longest are not the strongest, but the most aware of danger. 7. About Mystical Trading "There is no need to urge the sunrise. What is meant to come will come. This is mysticism, just like Bitcoin. It has its own timetable." Don’t mock mysticism. Those trying to use it to guess the next minute's ups and downs are just using a chalice to hold urine. They don’t understand the way; they are just blinded by greed, much like the previous news that does not speak the truth. That is all my insights. There is nothing magical about facing formulas. Only discipline and the elegance of facing this harsh reality.

LIFE IS LIKE

A JOURNEY

Below are the real-time trades from the Big White community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who kept up. If your operations are not smooth, you can come and dip your toes in.

The data is real and every order has a screenshot from when it was issued.

Search public account:Big White Talks Coins

Bilibili YouTube account:Daqian777

BTC

Analysis

From the data of Bitcoin, the turnover rate is still quite high, and the trading volume is not low, indicating that the current price still has strong speculative characteristics. When selling, there is still a certain amount of buying; otherwise, this price would have collapsed long ago. However, from the data, the purchasing power is still not strong enough, and passive buying accounts for the majority. The optimistic part is that early investors have not panicked yet.

More turnover still comes from short-term investors, especially from URPD's data, where other positions' selling data is extremely low. This also represents that more holders have turned into long-term holders, and price fluctuations in the short term are unlikely to make this part of investors surrender.

Although in the fourth quarter, Bitcoin's price has turned downward, this is not a collective exit by institutions; it is more like turnover within institutions, with trading or arbitrage institutions selling to reduce risk, while long-term laid-out funds are taking up the slack.

From the summary chart of institutional types, the current disclosed total exposure is about $27.3 billion, corresponding to 311,700 BTC, with a single period change reducing 25,098 BTC. This number is indeed considerable, indicating that institutions have overall net reduced their positions this period, which is indisputable.

However, this is data for one quarter, meaning that over three months, an institution has reduced its holdings by 25,000 BTC. In relation to institutional holdings, this is an 8% reduction, which is not a large figure, so it cannot be said that institutions are collapsing; the latter indicates institutions are fleeing, and we also need to look at detail data.

Rebounds to 65200-66200-67000 can be shorted

ETH

Analysis

Although there was a drop during the day yesterday, after the U.S. stock market rose at night, Bitcoin also saw a rebound. Of course, this rebound is very weak, mainly due to liquidity and investor sentiment, leading to a very pessimistic current cryptocurrency market. But indeed, cryptocurrency and U.S. stocks do have correlation; as long as U.S. stocks rise, Bitcoin at least won’t be too bad. Especially in the past two days, the drop is mainly related to U.S. tariffs and geopolitical conflicts. Although these have not been resolved, the market has begun to gradually price in expectations. Today, the most notable event is Iran purchasing CM-302 supersonic cruise missiles from China, which can destroy U.S. aircraft carriers. This is also a report of arms purchases after it was revealed yesterday that Iran bought missiles from Russia, especially buying from China. Currently, the main factors causing market fluctuations are still these two matters: tariffs and geopolitical conflicts, but the stock market's decline is an added burden on an already troubled Trump, especially since the mid-term elections are at the end of the year. Personally, I think Trump doesn’t have much time left to make changes.

Rebounds to 1929-1958-1983 can be shorted

Disclaimer: The above content is merely personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and bears no legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have some latency. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.

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