Crypto Circle News
February 20 Hot Topics:
1. The White House held the third round of closed-door meetings on stablecoins; crypto executives state “there is still further progress”
2. The Ethereum Foundation announces the establishment of a “Platform” team aimed at strengthening the coordinated development of L1 and L2 and promoting institutional adoption
3. Federal Reserve’s Kashkari: Waller is fully qualified to serve as Chairman of the Federal Reserve
4. Federal Reserve research paper states that prediction markets possess significant analytical value
5. SEC discusses a “gradual” regulatory path for tokenized securities and plans to introduce an innovative exemption mechanism
Trading Insights
1. About Waiting (“The Waiting”) “Trading is mostly boring. If you feel excitement, then you are losing money.” Don’t stare at the screen all day. Grabbing the screen will just make it glare back at you, consuming you. A good hunter waits most of the time. He waits for the wind direction to change, for the moment the prey lowers its head to drink. Don't fixate on the market. Let the market come crashing at you like a clueless drunk. When there's nothing to do, do nothing. Being in cash is still a position. 2. About Stop Losses (“The Cut”) “Stop loss is your only friend. Although this friend sometimes takes a bite out of you.” Having the courage to admit mistakes. Most people lack courage. Watching deficits widen is like watching a wound fester, praying for a miracle. Miracles do not happen. Bad toes happen. When you're wrong, cut it immediately. Don’t worry. Don’t repair. Pay the bill, try to buy a lesson, and then strive for honor. As long as the green mountains remain, you don’t need to fear running out of firewood. 3. About Leverage (“The Leverage”) “Leverage is borrowed courage. It is not yours.” In that cesspool of contracts, leverage is like low-quality drugs. It makes you feel invincible, makes you think you’re smarter than the market. But it will leave you with a splitting headache when you’re sober. Gamble only with what you can afford. If a trade keeps you awake at night, it means you're betting too big. You can only win when you can sleep. 4. About News and Noise (“The Noise”) “Don’t listen to them. They are selling newspapers, not truth.” In this circle, some are hawking news, some are analyzing charts, some are bragging about inside information. Plug your ears. Just look at two things: price and volume. Price is fact. Volume is power. Everything else — whatever macro analysis, whatever institutional upgrades — is usually a lie or a smokescreen to see through to retreat. 5. About Essence (The Sea) “The market is like the sea. It is not cruel, it is just indifferent.” Don’t be angry at the market. Don’t try to get revenge on Bitcoin. It doesn’t care about you. It doesn’t even know you exist. If you’re knocked over by a wave, it’s because you didn’t see the tide or because your boat is too rotten. Accept it. Clean the wounds. Go back to sea. 6. A Respect for the Unknown (“The Respect for the Unknown”) “Only a fool believes he can master every candlestick. A wise man knows the wind’s direction is determined not by the meteorological bureau but by the sea.” Sometimes you buy not because of a MACD golden cross, but because that morning's coffee tasted right or because the wind outside changed direction. Is this called mysticism? No, this is called animal instinct. In the jungle, those who survive the longest are not the strongest, but those who are most aware of danger. 7. About Mystical Trading “There is no need to rush the sunrise. What is meant to come will come. This is mysticism, and Bitcoin is the same. It has its own timetable.” Don’t belittle mysticism. Those who try to use it to guess the rise or fall of the next minute are only filling a chalice with urine. They do not understand the way; they are just blinded by greed, just like those hawking news, talking not the truth. This is all my insights. There is nothing magical about facing formulas. Only discipline, and an elegance amidst this cruel reality.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are this week's real trading group orders from the Da Bai Community; congratulations to those who are following along. If your operations are not smooth, you can come try the waters.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from the time it was sent out.
Search for the public account:Da Bai Discussing Coins
Bilibili and YouTube account:Daqian777
BTC
Analysis
From the data, the turnover rate is quite good, basically flat compared to yesterday, and the selling data is also decreasing, while the exchange stock is reducing. Although purchasing power is still poor, we can indeed see that around $65,000, the outflow of $BTC from exchanges will be greater than the inflow.
Moreover, it can also be clearly observed that although market sentiment is a mess, earlier investors, whether in profit or loss, haven’t participated much in the turnover; even investors with costs above $100,000 do not have any nervous atmosphere. This portion of Bitcoin has not moved significantly for a long time.
This indicates that more investors do not care much about short-term prices, but the selling by short-term investors in the case of low liquidity will still cause the price to continue to weaken.
An upper rebound to around 68375-68750-69300 may proceed to open short positions, targeting around 65200-64300.
ETH
Analysis
Today, news spread that negotiations between the United States and Iran have made progress, but right after the opening, Trump again expressed a hardline stance towards Iran and ordered the production of 22 more B2 bombers. This information escalates the geopolitical conflict between the U.S. and Iran; oil prices continue to rise, U.S. stock markets are declining, pulling cryptocurrencies down as well, with market sentiment and funds in disarray.
In two days, the Supreme Court will inquire into Trump's tariffs. Personally, I estimate it may not directly give a yes or no answer; it’s very likely to delay for about a month. Tariffs are currently the most important thing and can immediately influence market sentiment, but we can only wait for the Supreme Court's announcement. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy will probably have to wait until May or June.
A pullback near 1818 below can proceed to open long positions, targeting around 1855-1880.
Disclaimer: The above content is solely the author’s personal opinion and is for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice, nor does it carry legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly; the article has a certain lag. If there is anything unclear, feel free to inquire.
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