It is still a very difficult day for writing homework. Although today there was news that negotiations between the United States and Iran have made progress, right after the market opened, Trump again started to express a tough stance on Iran and ordered the production of 22 more B2 fighter jets. This information is exacerbating the geopolitical conflict between the United States and Iran. Oil prices continue to rise, and the U.S. stock market is experiencing a downturn, which is also dragging down cryptocurrencies, leading to chaotic market sentiment and funds.

There are still two days until the Supreme Court's inquiry into Trump's tariffs. I personally estimate that it may not directly provide an answer of consent or opposition; it is very likely to be delayed by about a month. Tariffs have become the most important issue recently and are events that can immediately drive market sentiment, but we can only wait for the Supreme Court's announcement, while the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is likely to be expected until May or June.

Looking back at the data for Bitcoin, the turnover rate is still quite good, basically flat with yesterday, and the data on sell-offs is also decreasing. The inventory at exchanges is also reducing. Although purchasing power is still very poor, it can indeed be seen that around $65,000, the number of $BTC being transferred out of exchanges will exceed the number being transferred into exchanges.

Moreover, it is still evident that although market sentiment is in disarray, earlier investors, whether they are profitable or at a loss, have not been very involved in the turnover, and even investors with costs above $100,000 are not showing any signs of nervousness. This portion of Bitcoin has not moved significantly for a long time.

This indicates that more investors do not care much about short-term prices, but short-term investors’ sell-offs in a low liquidity scenario will still cause prices to continue to weaken.

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