Article editing time: January 13, 2026, 18:00. All opinions do not constitute any investment advice! For learning and communication purposes only.

Discipline hides infinite possibilities in life, and its depth also measures the height of life. Every step of deep cultivation has its own echo; the more disciplined one is, the further they go. I am Fuzhu, deeply engaged in analyzing mainstream cryptocurrency trends, breaking down market logic with professional accumulation, and providing pragmatic trading ideas.

Trading in the cryptocurrency market is not an overnight effort but a long-term practice that requires patience. Do not let short-term gains and losses disrupt your strategy. As long as the direction is determined and the timing of trades and market fluctuations are accurately grasped, the win rate will steadily improve. Investment is also a journey of growth, and I wish to encourage all fellow traders: improve while operating, review and consolidate through gains and losses, deepen risk awareness, and calibrate mental coordinates, so as to calmly avoid risks and grow into mature investors.

The foundation of trading is survival; profits are merely a natural gift. Before every trade, it is essential to examine the operational logic and the safety of the principal, refining and optimizing a personalized trading system. My advice may not help you get rich overnight, but it can guide you in the long run—only those who firmly establish themselves in the cryptocurrency market and persevere until the end can achieve what they seek.

It is important to know that the darkest hour is just before dawn. On the road to pursuing your goals, you are never alone; I am willing to walk alongside you towards the light.

Key events: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is facing a criminal investigation, raising concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. The U.S. Senate is reviewing the "2025 Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" today; South Korea will implement the second phase of its cryptocurrency open policy; the U.S. SEC has not listed cryptocurrency as a priority risk for 2026.

Market interpretation: Overall, policy regulation is becoming clearer, which is a long-term positive; however, the Powell incident has created short-term risk aversion and uncertainty.

BTC is influenced by Federal Reserve speeches and economic data; persistent inflation or hawkish signals may strengthen the dollar and suppress BTC. The Trump-Powell conflict exacerbates uncertainty; if the Fed accelerates interest rate cuts, it may push BTC to break through $100,000. ETF outflows of about $480 million reflect institutional caution, but the long-term narrative remains strong, with weak on-chain demand but leverage already washed out.

ETH benefits from the Fusaka upgrade, which enhances data capacity and efficiency, with institutional staking and ETF inflows of $25 million providing support. JPMorgan states that the de-risking phase has ended, and whale accumulation boosts the ETH/BTC ratio, but DeFi activity is slowing down, and macro uncertainty (such as a Fed pause) increases selling pressure.

Today, BTC and ETH are mainly consolidating, with fundamentals dominated by macro policies and institutional flows. The technical outlook is neutral to bearish, but signs of overselling are beginning to appear. In the short term, focus on Fed data and economic reports; if dovish, BTC may retest $95,000, and ETH could rebound to $3,300; conversely, the risk of a downward probe increases.

For BTC, pay attention to the support at the $90,000 level; those without positions may consider entering around this area, while those with long positions can hold, keeping an eye on the pressure at $94,000. For ETH, monitor the support at the $3,000 level; this position may be considered for long positions, and if it breaks above $3,300, consider opening short positions.

Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion; strategies are for reference only and should not be used as investment basis. Any risks taken are at your own discretion.

Warm reminder: The above content is created by the public account: Fuzhu Zhiyuan. The advertisements at the end of the article and in the comments section are unrelated to the author. Please discern carefully. Thank you for reading.

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