In the context of an overall market downturn, an extreme case has emerged in Binance Alpha.
During the Alpha TGE phase, the cost of $FOLKS was about $3,
over the weekend it surged from $14 to $50,
with a maximum increase of nearly 350%, becoming one of the highest returning projects within the Alpha system recently.
This is not a "general rise," but a typical concentrated release of Alpha dividends.
What is $FOLKS? Why did it perform so well?
Folks Finance, behind $FOLKS, is not just a sentiment-driven project:
1. Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Protocol
Provides services such as lending, trading, staking, and asset management
Initially based on Algorand, now expanded to a multi-chain protocol
Covers core DeFi scenarios like liquidity lending and liquidity staking
2. Financing Background:
Total funding of approximately $6.2 million
Seed round: $3 million
Series A: $3.2 million (FDV approximately $75 million)
Lead investor: Borderless Capital
Co-investors: Coinbase Ventures, OKX Ventures, etc.
The commonality of such projects is: they are not launched based on stories, but are undervalued in the Alpha phase.
Current State of Alpha: Low Sentiment, Not Mechanism Failure
Objectively, Binance Alpha is currently in a clear "cold zone":
The number of participants has nearly halved compared to the peak
Multiple players and studios have noticeably withdrawn
Short-term returns have significantly diluted
Market sentiment is increasingly pessimistic, with even claims of "Alpha is dead"
However, from historical experience, this is precisely a typical cyclical phase of the Alpha model.
Many people → thin margins → exit
Fewer people → concentrated weight → large margins reappear
$FOLKS itself is more like a "signal point" in this cycle.
Alpha is not linear returns, but a cyclical game
The core of Alpha has never been about "making stable profits every day," but rather:
Exchanging time for probability
Exchanging participation for qualification
Surviving for extreme opportunities
The characteristics of the current stage are:
Small margins are hard to achieve
Large margins are sparse
But once they appear, returns are highly concentrated
This is highly synchronized with market cycles and participant cycles.
Rational Participation Approach in the Current Stage
Without discussing aggressive strategies, let's focus on a more "survival-oriented" approach:
🔹 Multi-Account Players
Account tiered management
Some accounts maintain low-frequency activity to reduce wear
A few accounts retain higher participation, not completely missing extreme opportunities
🔹 Single-Account Players
More suitable for participating in trading competitions and activities with many participants
Treat Alpha as an "optional gain," rather than a primary income source
Do not pursue daily results, just ensure you are at the table
The emergence of $FOLKS does not mean that Alpha has fully warmed up, but it at least indicates one thing:
Alpha has not failed; it is just waiting for the right release window.
When most people choose to exit due to declining returns,
true Alpha often just begins to accumulate.
The market will never reward the most anxious people,
it will only reward those who can endure the lows and still maintain their participation qualifications.
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