Article editing time: December 11, 2025, 21:00. All opinions do not constitute any investment advice! For learning and communication purposes only.

Discipline hides infinite possibilities in life, and its depth measures the height of life. Every step of deep cultivation has its own resonance; the more disciplined one is, the further they go. I am Fuzhu, deeply engaged in analyzing mainstream cryptocurrency trends, breaking down market logic based on professional accumulation, and providing pragmatic trading ideas.

Trading in the cryptocurrency market is not an overnight effort but a long-term practice that requires patience. Do not let short-term gains and losses disrupt your strategy. As long as the direction is firm and the timing and market pulse are accurately grasped, the win rate will steadily improve. Investment is also a journey of growth; I hope to encourage fellow cryptocurrency friends: improve while operating, review and consolidate through gains and losses, deepen risk awareness, and calibrate mental coordinates, so as to calmly avoid risks and grow into mature investors.

The foundation of trading is survival; profits are merely a natural reward. Before every trade, it is essential to examine the operational logic and the safety of the principal, refining and optimizing a personalized trading system. My advice may not help you get rich overnight, but it can guide you in the long run—only those who firmly establish themselves in the cryptocurrency market and persevere until the end can achieve what they seek.

Remember, the darkest hour is just before dawn. You are never alone on the road to pursuing your goals; I am willing to walk alongside you towards the light.

Following the Federal Reserve's 25bp rate cut, Bitcoin experienced a rapid surge in the early morning before quickly retreating, resulting in a pin bar pattern. The current trend has returned to the downward trend line. Generally, before news is released, the market has already moved significantly. This surge has prompted bulls to take profits. The long position I suggested yesterday successfully reached the target, and with a large amount of selling, the price began to decline significantly, hitting a low of 89321. It is currently hovering around the 90000 mark, and with the weekend approaching, the market is expected to continue in a structural manner.

On the daily level, the Bollinger Bands are still narrowing, supported by the middle band at 89900. The MACD indicator's DIF and DEA have not yet crossed, and the green bars are shrinking, indicating that the volume of this intraday decline is not large. The KDJ has formed a death cross, suggesting a short-term bearish bias. On the 4-hour level, the MACD death cross has deepened, indicating increased downward pressure, while the KDJ is approaching the oversold zone. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands has been breached, with support from the lower band at 88900. In the short term, pay attention to the key support level in the 88000-84000 range; if it breaks down, it may test 80600 USD. The upper resistance is at 93000 USD, requiring continuous ETF inflows to catalyze bullish momentum.

In terms of operations, it is recommended to go long in the 88000-88700 range, targeting 89500-91300. Short in the 93000-93500 range, targeting 92000-91000.

Ethereum, on the other hand, rebounded more strongly than Bitcoin after the rate hike, reaching a high of 3446 USD, which aligns with my expectations from yesterday. Unfortunately, it did not challenge 3500, possibly affected by the unfulfilled expectations of Layer 2 upgrades and the slowing growth of DeFi TVL. After hitting 3446, it retreated nearly 300 points and began to consolidate, effectively sweeping out the bullish positions that chased the rise.

Currently, Ethereum has held the psychological support at 3000 USD. If it breaks below 3000, it is likely to test 2900-2700.

In terms of operations, it is recommended to enter small positions in the 3100-3150 range, targeting 3200-3300. A light short can be taken in the 3350-3300 range, targeting 3250-3200.

Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion; the strategy is for reference only and should not be used as an investment basis. Any risks taken are at your own discretion.

This article is exclusively provided by Fuzhu in the cryptocurrency circle and represents Fuzhu's unique perspective. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably when trading, and avoid heavy or full positions. May my analysis serve as a lighthouse in the vast sea of the cryptocurrency market, guiding your journey.

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