Today's homework is simpler.

CN
Phyrex
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2 hours ago

Today's homework is simple, and there are no significant events or important data. The only news is that the U.S. has extended tariffs on China until November 2026. It is estimated that the two leaders reached some consensus during their phone call yesterday, and the continued honeymoon period between China and the U.S. has driven the rise of U.S. stocks. As U.S. stocks rise, $BTC continues to challenge a return to $90,000, and this time the issue is not expected to be significant.

I just saw some data indicating that hedge funds experienced the largest buying volume from November 21 to 24 since May, which is a rare level of passive buying. This aligns with what we mentioned in today's weekly report about CTA buying, but we also noted the potential difficulties that may arise, as the main narrative still revolves around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

U.S. markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving, and will close early on Friday for Black Friday. So if today ends without any surprises, it should be a smooth passage. We'll deal with next week's concerns next week. Today's weekly report has already made things very clear. Personally, I still focus on seeing a rebound in the current market, with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy being the main point of attention, followed by tariffs and liquidity.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, the turnover rate has significantly decreased. Although investor sentiment has not yet entered FOMO, it has at least escaped the panic state from last week. After all, the focus now is on the Federal Reserve. There shouldn't be much happening this week, but starting next week, things will get more challenging, especially with the dot plot in December.

The chip structure remains very healthy, and the two support levels are also very robust. Currently, there is no significant trend of panic among loss-making chips. As long as the support levels remain stable, there is still an opportunity for the price to return to the support level.

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