Self-discipline hides infinite possibilities in life, and its depth also measures the height of life. Every step of deep cultivation has its own echo; the more disciplined one is, the further they go. I am Fuzhu, deeply engaged in analyzing mainstream cryptocurrency trends, breaking down market logic based on professional accumulation, and providing pragmatic trading ideas.
Trading in the cryptocurrency market is not an overnight effort, but a long-term practice that requires patience. Do not let short-term gains and losses disrupt your strategy. As long as the direction is firm and the timing of trades and market fluctuations are accurately grasped, the win rate will steadily improve. Investment is also a journey of growth, and I hope to encourage fellow crypto friends: improve while operating, review and consolidate through gains and losses, deepen risk awareness, and calibrate mental coordinates, so as to calmly avoid risks and grow into mature investors.
The foundation of trading is survival; profits are merely a natural gift. Before every trade, it is essential to examine the operational logic and the safety of the principal, refining and optimizing a personalized trading system. My advice may not help you get rich overnight, but it can guide you in the long run—only those who firmly establish themselves in the cryptocurrency market and persevere until the end can achieve what they seek.
Remember, the darkest hour is just before dawn. On the road to pursuing your goals, you are never alone. I am willing to walk alongside you towards the light.
As of the time of writing, BTC's high is around 88,200 and the low is around 86,851. BTC has shown a slightly bullish pattern in the past two days, but the upward momentum is insufficient. Pay attention to the resistance at 88,300 above and the support at 85,300 below. Currently, BTC is in a rebound during a downtrend; having dropped so much, a rebound is due. However, without effectively stabilizing above the 100,000 mark, a reversal in trend is difficult to achieve.
Daily level: The MACD indicator maintains a golden cross with the DIF crossing above the DEA, but the height of the red bars has been continuously shortening compared to the previous three trading days, indicating that while bullish momentum has not disappeared, it is showing a weakening trend. In the short term, it may face a process of re-accumulating momentum. The KDJ lines are highly intertwined, showing no overbought (>80) or oversold (<20) signals, reflecting a balance in the current bullish and bearish struggle, with a weak trend. At the 4-hour level: The MACD operates above the zero axis, with the DIF and DEA tending to converge, and the green momentum bars slightly expanding, indicating a clear characteristic of short-term consolidation, requiring caution against the potential risk of a golden cross turning into a dead cross.
Hourly level: The KDJ showed a slight low-level golden cross before quickly retreating, indicating frequent inflows and outflows of short-term funds, reducing the effectiveness of indicators in a volatile market. The Bollinger Bands have slightly opened, with prices repeatedly testing near the upper band, indicating significant upward pressure.
Operational suggestions: Light short positions near 89,000, targeting 87,000-86,000. Light long positions near 85,000, targeting 87,000-88,000. Market conditions are ever-changing; specific operations should be based on real-time strategies.
As of the time of writing, ETH's high is around 2,983 and the low is around 2,911. Recently, Ethereum has been in a volatile upward pattern, with rebound strength still stronger than BTC. Unfortunately, it has not tested the 3,000 mark, primarily due to insufficient volume, with a high probability of repeated fluctuations around 2,900.
Daily level: The MACD is still operating below the zero axis, with the DIF and DEA tending to converge, and the green momentum bars continuously shortening, indicating that the downward momentum is waning, but it still requires time to accumulate for a daily golden cross. The KDJ lines are oscillating in the low range of 40-50, showing a slight "dead cross not dead" state, reflecting insufficient market confidence in the rebound, with the Bollinger Bands being suppressed by the upper band at 3,050.
At the 4-hour level: A golden cross has been achieved with the DIF crossing above the DEA early this morning, with the red momentum bars initially expanding. Short-term rebound momentum has been activated, but the rebound height is limited due to daily level suppression. The KDJ showed a low-level golden cross at the 2,880 support level, with the J line peaking at 55 before retreating, indicating weak rebound strength and failing to form an effective breakthrough. The Bollinger Bands have been fluctuating between the upper band at 2,980 and the lower band at 2,880, with trading volume simultaneously shrinking, consistent with consolidation characteristics.
Operational suggestions: Light short positions near 2,990, targeting 2,950-2,880. Light long positions near 2,860, targeting 2,890-2,930. Market conditions are ever-changing; specific operations should be based on real-time strategies.
Disclaimer: The above content is purely personal opinion, and the strategies are for reference only and should not be used as investment basis. Any risks taken are at your own discretion.
This article is exclusively provided by Fuzhu in the cryptocurrency circle and represents Fuzhu's unique viewpoint. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. May my analysis serve as a lighthouse in the vast sea of the cryptocurrency market, guiding you on your journey.
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