The good news is that my intuition was not accurate. The performance of the US stock market has been exceptionally strong due to the collaboration between AMD and OPENAI, and $BTC, which is still highly synchronized with the US stock market, has also surged to break its historical high. I am still holding onto my 20% long position. Yesterday, I mentioned that I would treat it as a gamble, betting that investor sentiment had not diminished due to the ongoing standstill. Fortunately, I won the bet, but the bad news is that I did not increase my position; I still only have this 20% stake.

Now that I think about it, will I regret reducing my holdings at $116,000? In fact, I almost always sell my contracts too early, and I often wonder why I couldn't just hold on a little longer. However, every time I think this way, it is a case of survivor bias. Since opening my position, I have experienced more than a dozen rollercoaster rides, and most of the time, when I think I should wait and see, my profits turn into losses.

Therefore, reconciling with myself is very important. Although I regret not holding for a longer time, having 20% of my position means I haven't completely missed out. I am grateful for this habit. Moreover, I have already secured some profits, and tomorrow is not the last day for Bitcoin trading. As long as there is volatility and it continues to be influenced by the US macro market, I will still have opportunities to open positions.

My future plan is to change "let's wait and see" into "let's reduce a little." In fact, many friends are not unable to make money; they get trapped in a self-imposed dilemma when they think, "I want to earn a little more." Today, I had lunch with Kan Ge @tktang88, and we talked again about his experience of selling BTC and $BNB too early. Now, I am the one comforting him; his actions were correct. He held onto his assets for over four years, and without a strict discipline to restrain him, I really don't know how many more rollercoaster rides he would have to endure.

After all, securing profits is what matters. Some friends might think this is double standards, but it really isn't. My thought is that if you feel your holdings are too heavy and you are feeling uncertain, selling is a way to reconcile with yourself. Although you might sell too early, this market will never lack opportunities for "bottom fishing." If you have enough confidence and strong beliefs and theories supporting your ability to hold, then you wouldn't even consider reducing your position.

For example, my thought is that 2028 will be a period of at least double the liquidity compared to now, so my strategy is arranged with 2028 in mind. I will continue to hold during this Federal Reserve cycle, and I will only consider reducing my position when the next cycle begins.

If 2028 is like 2020, then now is like the situation in 2018 or 2019. Holding onto core assets and striving to increase the coin-based returns of those core assets is my main operational strategy at the moment.

PS: Historical high, and today there is still no URPD data. URPD has not shown any gaps, everything is normal, so I won't post any charts for now.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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