Zhou Yanling: 10.2 Bitcoin BTC ETH Today's Latest Trend Prediction Analysis and Trading Strategy
Yesterday, the coin price was affected by the U.S. government shutdown, approaching the 118,000 line. The initial large bullish candle during the National Day holiday ignited the market, with bulls showing strong performance. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice more this year, with CME interest rate futures indicating nearly a 95% chance of a rate cut in October and over 75% in December. The expectation of a shift in monetary policy has kept long-term real interest rates low. Under the resonance of risk aversion and monetary policy expectations, the fear and greed index leans towards greed, the dollar weakens, real interest rates decline, and technical breakout strategies are triggered, further pushing up coin prices. However, the coin price is extremely overbought, and technical indicators may diverge, making short-term sentiment prone to caution. Overall, the bias is bullish, but the market is sensitive; any economic data or policy news that falls short of expectations could trigger volatility.
From a technical perspective on Bitcoin, the daily chart shows a continuous price increase recently, with a large bullish candle formed yesterday, breaking through the previous consolidation range. The hourly chart presents a stepwise upward trend, but there are signs of slight pullback at the current high. In the MACD technical indicator, both the hourly line DIF and DEA are above the zero axis, with the histogram shortening and momentum weakening; the daily chart shows a clear bullish trend with sustained volume increase. The hourly line is in the overbought area around 75, which may face short-term pullback pressure; the daily RSI is gradually entering a strong zone, indicating an overall bullish trend. The hourly EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 are in a bullish arrangement, and the price consistently operates above EMA7; the daily EMA system also maintains a bullish arrangement with strong support. In the short term, the strategy remains to continue trading long in line with the trend.
Zhou Yanling's 10.2 Bitcoin Trading Strategy:
Buy at 115800-116700, stop loss below 114800, target 119000-120000
Sell at 120600-119600, stop loss above 121600, target 118000-117000
Zhou Yanling's 10.2 Ethereum Trading Strategy:
Buy at 4250-4290, stop loss below 4200, target around 4380, if broken, look for around 4400 to 4490
Sell at 4400-4360, stop loss below 4450, target 4290-4250
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risk yourself. The article's review and publication may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow Yanling's real-time strategies.】
The content of this article is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling (WeChat public account: Zhou Yanling). The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for over ten years, currently mainly analyzing and guiding BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other cryptocurrency contracts/spot operations. The author has a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience, excels in combining technical and news-based operations, emphasizes capital management and risk control, and is recognized by many investment friends for a stable and decisive trading style, along with a friendly and responsible personality.
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