Morning Analysis: From the daily chart, the market is currently in a C-wave downtrend, situated in the B central area of 108,000-112,300. Yesterday, a typical weak rebound characteristic was observed. If there is no rebound above 112,300 over the weekend, the market will continue to follow the C-wave trend. The 4-hour Bitcoin price, after experiencing three consecutive bearish candles, has entered a technical recovery phase, but the rebound momentum remains weak, and it has not effectively broken through the key resistance area. From a technical perspective, the current downward trend structure remains intact, and the bearish pattern has not undergone a substantial change.

The daily level shows that the price has quickly rebounded from the low of 3815 on September 25 to around 4032, forming a long lower shadow bullish candle followed by a series of small upward fluctuations, indicating a short-term rebound trend.

From the 4-hour Ethereum chart, the price around 4026 has shown multiple up and down shadows, indicating some selling pressure in that area. Although there is currently a rebound, the strength is insufficient. The level of 4160 serves as a critical line for the previous bullish-bearish transition; if it cannot break through this level soon, the market will continue to test the downside, potentially breaking below 3800. The technical indicators MACD at the 4-hour level show both DIF and DEA are negative, but the histogram is gradually shortening, indicating a weakening of bearish momentum, with a potential golden cross on the horizon; however, the daily MACD remains bearish, and further recovery needs to be monitored.

In summary, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a rebound phase, but have not reached critical positions. Generally, the larger the drop, the larger the rebound should be; if the rebound is insufficient, it only indicates that the market has not yet reached a bottom. Recent operations should refer to the image.

This strategy is for reference only; please invest cautiously and secure profits. (Follow Dan on WeChat: Ethereum Kai)

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