Trading is not just a game with the market, but also a battle with your own emotions. When you can maintain restraint in greed and calmness in fear, you have already outperformed most people. A true expert is not the one who predicts the market most accurately, but the one who can stabilize their inner rhythm amidst every fluctuation. With a heart as steady as a mountain and hands as steady as at the beginning, let your emotions be your support, not a burden.
Hello everyone, I am trader Gege. Continuing from the last article updated around 11 PM on September 9th, the long positions were realized, with Bitcoin at 111300-110800 long, looking at 113300, and if it breaks, looking at 115000. For Ether, 4280-4240 long, looking at 4450-4480, and if it breaks 4500, continue to look at 4600. Friends who saw that article and followed along have already captured this rebound.
To get to the point, since this is a script piece, the following predictions are personal thoughts and assumptions, not short-term intraday ideas, but estimates of the trends before and after interest rate cuts. First, regarding Ether, I firmly believe in this rebound because Ether is at the tail end of a box range. Generally, I prefer to look for breakouts in the latter half of the box, and I believe there are fans who resonate with me.
If I were the market maker, before the interest rate cut for Ether, I would use this wave around 4200 to build a base and start a rebound, moving in a healthy upward trend, and hitting new highs above 5000. After the interest rate cut news drops that night, I would create a wave of false bullishness, followed by a washout. The market maker's companions would already have their positions in hand during the base-building phase, waiting for the shoe to drop to lift prices and then sell off, completing a short-term harvest. Bitcoin would oscillate around 116000 to induce shorts, and then rise back to around 120000, continuing to oscillate while waiting for the shoe to drop for a new high to sell off.
The above assumptions need not be taken too seriously; consider them entertainment. I do not like to predict the market in advance; rather, I prefer to operate along the trend with reasonable positions. In the contract trading market, regardless of the method or trading system, as long as it can make money, it is a good method. A good method must suit you; you must first understand what kind of person you are to develop and refine your own trading system. Short-term, ultra-short-term, medium to long-term—different operations require flexible position planning; be heavy when necessary, light when needed, and keep small positions for trial trades small. Friends around me have advised me not to mention these things in the article, saying that people prefer to see specific points. I still hope to find like-minded individuals; this way, cooperation can be smoother, with similar thoughts, mutual understanding, and long-term collaboration, being both mentors and friends, which is also a kind of fun in this brutal market.
Today, it seems I have said a bit too much outside of market conditions, so let’s return to the short-term market outlook. Today is Friday, and there are two days left for the weekly closing. Currently, the weekly line has broken MA7, and we need to see if it can stabilize, which means we need to see if it can hold above 116000; this can be seen as a key point for whether a short-term reversal can continue. The daily line is currently testing the resistance area mentioned earlier, MA60 and the upper track, with a slight pullback adjustment. Although two consecutive bullish candles look strong, BOLL is in a flat state with no signs of opening, so whether it can complete the breakout remains to be seen. I won’t elaborate on Ether's technical aspects; my view remains unchanged, with daily resistance at around 4650. If it can break and stabilize, I am optimistic about returning to around 4800, maintaining a bullish outlook in the short term. I will update 2-3 short articles daily to provide my views and thoughts on Ether.
Bitcoin short-term: Long at 113500-114000, looking at 116000, and if it breaks, looking at 117500.
Ether short-term: Long at 4500-4480, looking at 4650, and if it breaks 4650, continue to look at 4780.
The suggestions are for reference only; please manage your risk when entering the market, and grasp the profit and stop-loss space yourself. Specific strategies should be consulted in real-time.
Alright, friends, we will say goodbye until next time. I wish everyone continued success and smooth sailing in the crypto world! More real-time advice will be sent internally. Today's brief update ends here. For more real-time advice on Bitcoin and Ether, find Gege.
Written by / I am trader Gege, a friend willing to accompany you in your resurgence.
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