From the perspective of trading volume data, both #Coinbase and #Binance's $BTC trading volume or $IBIT have not shown significant improvement; instead, there has been a slight decrease compared to before, indicating that current investors are starting to feel fatigued with the current prices.

The market mainly needs a clear outcome regarding the competition between Trump and the Federal Reserve. If Trump can win, leading the Federal Reserve into a phase of rapid interest rate cuts, there is at least a possibility of economic growth before the midterm elections. However, if the Federal Reserve remains conservative and steady, the earliest it could enter a phase of rapid interest rate cuts would be next June.

The first major confrontation will likely be the interest rate meeting and dot plot in September. The dot plots for 2025 and 2026 are of utmost importance to Trump, as they will indicate how much influence he can wield within the Federal Reserve. The current market is essentially waiting for this event.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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