【Price Trend Analysis】

1. Candlestick Pattern:

• The daily chart shows recent prices oscillating around 4300, entering a consolidation phase after significant fluctuations. On September 5, a long upper shadow appeared, indicating heavy selling pressure above.

• The 4-hour candlestick chart shows alternating small bearish and bullish candles, overall leaning weak, with the current price close to the short-term high point area (4288-4300), facing certain pressure.

1. Technical Indicators:

   • MACD: In the 4-hour cycle, both DIF and DEA are below the zero line, with green bars shortening, but no clear golden cross signal has formed yet. Bearish strength is weakening but has not yet turned strong.

   • RSI: The current value is around 44, in a neutral to weak range, not entering oversold or overbought areas, indicating relatively cautious market sentiment.

   • EMA: The price is running below EMA7, and EMA7 < EMA30 < EMA120, with short, medium, and long-term moving averages showing a bearish arrangement, indicating a bearish trend; at the same time, EMA7 (4287) is very close to the current price, which may constitute short-term resistance.

2. Trading Volume:

• Daily trading volume is gradually shrinking, falling from a significant increase on September 5 to the current low level, indicating strong wait-and-see sentiment from both bulls and bears.

• The 4-hour trading volume has also significantly decreased, with market activity declining and lacking clear directional momentum in the short term.

Trading Strategy Analysis and Optimization Suggestions

Technical Point Evaluation

Ethereum trading plan, I have conducted a professional evaluation of each key point:

Operation Direction

Price Level (USDT)

Technical Basis

Risk Assessment

Recommended Position

Buy Point One

4,200

Previous low area + round number

⭐⭐☆☆☆

30% of funds

Buy Point Two

4,120

Strong support range

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

50% of funds

Long Stop Loss

4,080

Trend break protection

⭐⭐⭐⭐☆

Strict execution

Sell/Take Profit One

4,350

EMA30 resistance + round number

⭐⭐⭐☆☆

Reduce position by 50%

Sell/Take Profit Two

4,420

Strong resistance area

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Close all positions

Short Stop Loss

4,450

Breakout protection

⭐⭐⭐⭐☆

Light position operation

Execution Strategy Suggestions

1. Position Management Plan

1. Key Technical Level Analysis

   • 4,120 Support: Near the low point of August 29, exhibiting strong support characteristics

   • 4,350 Resistance: EMA30 moving average resistance + round number, an important resistance level

   • 4,420 Strong Resistance: 4400-4430 resistance area, difficult to break through

2. Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation

   • Bullish Strategy: Risk of 120 points, potential return of 300 points, risk-reward ratio of 1:2.5

   • Bearish Strategy: Risk of 30 points, potential return of 70 points, risk-reward ratio of 1:2.33

Optimization Suggestions

1. Entry Timing Optimization

   • Wait for a bullish engulfing or pin bar signal near 4,200

   • Look for signals of a second test not breaking near 4,120

   • Use RSI oversold signals as auxiliary confirmation

2. Take Profit Strategy Adjustment

   • It is recommended to reduce position by 50% at 4,350

   • Close all positions at 4,420

   • Consider using trailing stop loss to protect profits

3. Alternative Plan Preparation

   • If there is a direct breakout above 4,450, consider going long

   • If it breaks below 4,080, consider light shorting

   • Reserve 20% of funds for unexpected situations

Risk Warning

1. Main Risk Points

   • Divergence between volume and price leading to support failure

   • Sudden news events impacting the market

   • Insufficient market liquidity

2. Risk Control Measures

   • Control the risk of a single trade within 2% of total funds

   • Set both hard stop loss and psychological stop loss as double insurance

   • Avoid holding heavy positions overnight

Summary

This trading plan has the following advantages: ✅ Sufficient technical basis ✅ Reasonable risk-reward ratio ✅ Clear stop loss settings ✅ Scientific position management

Execution Focus Suggestions:

1. Prioritize monitoring the performance of the strong support level at 4,120

2. Gradually take profit at 4,350 and 4,420

3. Strictly execute stop loss discipline at 4,080

4. Maintain light and cautious positions for short trades

Please note that all market analysis and strategies carry uncertainties. The above content is merely a summary based on the information you provided and does not constitute any investment advice. Please make your own judgments based on real-time market conditions and always prioritize risk control.

Wishing you successful trading!

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【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Risks are to be borne by yourself. The article review and publication may have delays, and strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow the real-time strategies of the crypto expert】

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