Be cautious about shorting because of Trump; he doesn't care about the data. His demand is for interest rate cuts, which could likely lead to an artificial surge. Let me give an extreme example: if Trump controls more than half of the Federal Reserve's voting members and needs them to lower interest rates (cut rates) by 3% within six months, it would likely drive the market into a short-term frenzy, with risk markets rising. Of course, the actual possibility of this happening is not very high, but it is inevitable that Trump wants to cut rates.

Therefore, as long as the market believes that Trump is winning the war against the Federal Reserve, it will expect the market to rise in the short term. Thus, shorting is not recommended; instead, buying on dips is advised. Trump's actions are hard to predict; he is completely different from Biden as a ruler. Trump wants interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy and reduce the U.S. government's fiscal deficit, as for inflation.

That might be something Vance needs to worry about.

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