Today’s cryptocurrency market is like a child throwing a tantrum — everyone thought the trading volume would “hit the gas” and push prices up a bit, right? But instead, it’s playing a “one-sided downward slide” without looking back. This kind of “volume-price divergence” operation has made market sentiment more oppressive than a cloudy day, and it has set the stage for a “guess what’s next” scenario for the upcoming trends.
Let’s not even mention that liquidity is still “quietly shrinking,” like a store with half the cash registers closed; buyers can’t gather enough money, and sellers are afraid of getting stuck with their assets. The intensity of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is almost on par with haggling at a market. In such times, if you operate blindly, you might either catch the bottom at “halfway up the mountain” or chase a short position at a “sharp turn,” with risk levels skyrocketing. So, the current market is a classic case of “three troubles in one pile” — volume-price divergence causing chaos, insufficient liquidity adding to the mess, and key support levels facing “stress tests.” What we can do is to be “spectators” for now and wait for clear signals before taking action.
The core logic for subsequent operations is actually quite simple; it depends on whether “key positions give any respect”: if Bitcoin and Ethereum can hold steady at key support levels and attract trading volume to “help out,” then gradually building long positions is more reliable; but if the support level is “broken through,” we need to quickly “retreat while we still can,” instead of waiting for a new support level to appear while our chips cool down.
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Speaking of Bitcoin, last Friday it finally touched the previous low, and everyone was waiting for it to “bounce back” and perform a “comeback,” but instead, it just “laid flat” today, continuing its weak trend. The current issue of insufficient market liquidity is like a winter water pipe — the more you use it, the more clogged it gets. Without funds to “support the bottom,” it’s like a roller coaster without a seatbelt; a “breakdown” in price can happen in an instant.
Looking back at historical trends, whenever there’s a situation of “increasing volume and decreasing price,” it basically means the bears are “secretly gaining strength,” and the market has no sense of recognition for the current price level, just like everyone thinks this clothing isn’t worth the price, and no one wants to buy it, forcing the seller to lower the price for a quick sale. So in the short term, Bitcoin might test the previous low again or even “explore new maps” downward. But don’t panic too much; this isn’t all bad news — for long-term investors, if we can wait for a clear stop-loss signal, it’s like a “second restock during a big sale,” providing another opportunity to pick up chips at a low price. The key is not to be impatient; otherwise, rushing in without a clear trend is like ordering food without looking at the menu, which can easily lead to mistakes.
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As for Ethereum, today it perfectly illustrated “where Bitcoin goes, I go,” following Bitcoin down and precisely reaching the key support level. From a technical perspective, the support range Ethereum is currently in is not only an important checkpoint that has “successfully passed multiple tests” before but also the “battlefield boundary” for both bulls and bears in the short term — if this support level can withstand pressure and attract trading volume to “cheer it on,” then the stage for a potential bottom might be stabilized; but if the support level is “broken through in one go,” the scene will likely resemble a supermarket during a sale, with panic selling surging and further price drops not being surprising.
However, there’s a small detail to note: although Ethereum closely follows Bitcoin, it occasionally shows a bit of “personality” at critical points — for example, if Bitcoin stabilizes, Ethereum might still hesitate; if Ethereum rebounds first, Bitcoin might still be dragging its feet. So we shouldn’t “confuse” the two; we need to monitor their respective support levels separately to see if they “hold up,” otherwise, using a “one-size-fits-all” judgment could lead to missed opportunities or missteps in timing.
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Lastly, we must mention today’s after-hours U.S. stock market, which is now practically the “sentiment barometer” for the cryptocurrency market — if U.S. stocks rise, the crypto market might just “cheer up,” and with increased risk appetite, key support levels can gain more “security”; but if U.S. stocks continue to “fall endlessly,” the rebound space for the crypto market will be “compressed,” and prices are likely to continue “drifting down.”
So when analyzing the cryptocurrency market, we shouldn’t just focus on our own charts; we also need to bring in the trends of the U.S. stock market for “joint research,” just like cooking requires balancing the flavors of both the dish and the soup. Multi-dimensional judgment can elevate the accuracy of our strategies; otherwise, it’s easy to make the mistake of “focusing on one end while forgetting the other.”
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If you are feeling lost — not understanding the technology, not knowing how to read the charts, unsure when to enter the market, not knowing how to set stop-losses, not understanding take-profit strategies, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing losses. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. Market conditions change rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time strategies. I look forward to steadily moving forward with you in the market.
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