Good morning, crypto friends ☀️, I am Wang Yibo. Today is Tuesday, August 19, 2025. Fans, check in and give a thumbs up, wishing everyone great wealth 🍗🍗🌹🌹! Next, let's analyze the current dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.
【Correlation Between U.S. Stock Market Trends and Cryptocurrency Market】
On Monday, the U.S. stock market closed with a mixed performance, with the Dow Jones initially down 0.05%, the S&P 500 slightly down, and the Nasdaq slightly up. In terms of individual stocks, Intel (INTC.O) fell 3.6%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose nearly 1%, and Meta Platforms (META.O) dropped over 2%. With this round of decline in the U.S. stock market, various uncertainties in the cryptocurrency market have resurfaced, affecting market sentiment to some extent.
However, the overnight cryptocurrency market saw a broad rebound, which put some short-sellers in a difficult position, suffering losses at the bottom. The current cryptocurrency market is fluctuating like a roller coaster, and if one is not careful, they may be thrown off rhythm by the market movements. In fact, in such a market environment, maintaining a prudent investment strategy is the core to long-term stability.
In the face of a volatile market, closely monitoring real-time market dynamics is crucial. Timely grasping subtle changes in the market can help seize opportunities in complex conditions and formulate investment decisions that align with market trends, thereby better coping with the challenges posed by market fluctuations.
【Bitcoin Price Dynamic Analysis】
Bitcoin began its pullback mode from a high of 117,959 yesterday morning, retreating to a low of 114,600 by the evening, and then rebounding, currently reaching a high of 116,743. From the hourly technical chart, the upper and middle bands of the Bollinger Bands are still on a downward trajectory, indicating that the overall medium-term adjustment trend has not yet completely reversed. However, the lower band has stopped falling and is beginning to diverge upwards, suggesting that short-term support is gradually strengthening.
Bitcoin is gradually breaking free from the weak range at the lower band support level, successfully breaking through the middle band resistance and continuing to rise, showing signs of short-term momentum recovery. However, the medium-term trend remains bearish, and the short-term downtrend has not yet ended.
Currently, the market needs to closely monitor two key levels. If the price can regain and stabilize above 117,500, it will be an important positive signal, potentially reversing the downtrend into a sideways upward movement. Once this level is firmly established, market bullish confidence will be greatly boosted, possibly attracting more buying interest and pushing prices further up.
Conversely, if the support at 113,500 is lost, the situation will be more severe, and Bitcoin may further test the support area at 108,000. If the support level at 113,500 is effectively breached, market panic may spread, with long positions being stopped out and short positions being added, leading to accelerated price declines seeking support at 108,000.
【Ethereum Price Fluctuation Analysis】
Ethereum's price has recently shown significant volatility. Yesterday morning, Ethereum started to decline from a high of 4,532, dropping to a low of 4,222 by midday before rebounding, reaching a high of 4,384 in the evening, and then slightly retreating to around 4,340 for consolidation.
From recent performance, there have been multiple instances of sharp rises followed by quick pullbacks, as well as rapid rebounds after deep declines, with the amplitude of fluctuations significantly greater than before, indicating that the current market battle between bulls and bears is quite intense, and sentiment is relatively unstable.
From a technical perspective and key levels, the market needs to focus on the breakout situation of the resistance level at 4,380. If the price can successfully break through and stabilize in the 4,420-4,450 range, there is a high probability of interrupting the current bearish retracement trend, potentially further stimulating bullish momentum and leading to a new round of price increases.
Conversely, if the price fails to break through the 4,380 resistance, it will test the support at the 4,220-4,150 range again. If this support range is breached, Ethereum's price may further decline, breaking below the 4,000 mark and subsequently testing the 3,880-3,700 range for deeper retracement.
Overall, the current cryptocurrency market is influenced by various factors, leading to frequent fluctuations. Investors need to keep up with real-time trends, operate cautiously, and adjust strategies based on market dynamics to seize the best trading opportunities for stable investments.
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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the charts, unsure when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing defeats. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to review timeliness, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to progressing steadily with you in the market.
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