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Today's focus is on the volatile pattern of the crypto market — under the influence of U.S. stock market movements and macro data disturbances, Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown a V-shaped reversal trend, and the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is entering a critical stage. Grasping the current rhythm is essential to seize opportunities amid fluctuations.

1. Macro Market Linkage: U.S. Stocks Under Pressure, Crypto Market Follows Suit

On Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.1%, the S&P 500 down 0.49%, and the Nasdaq down 0.65%, as cautious sentiment regarding U.S. economic data spread. The U.S. dollar index briefly fell after the release of the services PMI data, erasing most of its intraday gains, while U.S. Treasury yields generally rose. Spot gold, however, made a V-shaped reversal against the trend, closing at a nearly two-week high, clearly showing the flow of risk-averse funds.

The crypto market was not immune, as Bitcoin and Ethereum led a decline last night, triggering panic selling across the market. However, strong support was evident, leading to a rapid V-shaped rebound during the session — after this round of "washing out," many investors may have exited before dawn, while those who persisted are now welcoming a new window of opportunity. Follow Yibo's real-time updates to avoid traps and catch turning signals.

2. Bitcoin Trend Analysis: 112600 Builds Support for Rebound, Waiting for Direction Amid Fluctuations

Bitcoin hit a low of 112600 in the early morning, then entered a brief consolidation, forming a balance between bulls and bears. As buying pressure gradually built up, the market initiated a rebound correction, with the current price firmly standing at around 114000, showing clear signs of stabilization and recovery.

From a technical perspective:

• Short-term Cycle

  : The morning rebound failed to maintain its gains, transitioning into a weak adjustment during the day. The downward trend paused in the evening, entering a state of accumulation. The volatility range is gradually narrowing, with significant oscillation characteristics. Both bulls and bears have short-term opportunities, but caution is needed for "false breakouts."

• 4-Hour Level

  : Still within a narrow oscillation channel, prices are repeatedly tugging back and forth, with bulls and bears locked in a stalemate, and no clear one-sided trend has formed yet. Patience in waiting for a breakout of the range is key at this moment.

• Daily Level

  : There is a tendency to close with a bearish candle again, and short-term focus should prioritize the continuation of bearish momentum. If the support at 112000 is lost, it may further test the 110000 integer level; if support can be maintained and the price returns above 115000, bulls may regain momentum.

In terms of strategy, the focus should be on waiting in the short term. After the bearish momentum is fully released, consider positioning long orders at key support levels to avoid being consumed by the volatile market due to premature entry.

3. Ethereum Trend Analysis: 3600 Level Regained, Bullish Momentum Hidden

Ethereum has maintained a synchronized rhythm with Bitcoin, first surging to a high of 3611 to release bullish momentum, then retreating to 3544 due to profit-taking. However, strong buying support was evident during the dip, and it has now regained the 3600 level, showcasing resilience.

Technical signals are more positive:

• 4-Hour Chart

  : The price stabilized and rebounded after touching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, forming effective support. After multiple dips, it quickly recovered lost ground, indicating that the bullish foundation remains intact, with sufficient buying power.

• 1-Hour Cycle

  : Bulls have taken the lead, with a gradually emerging upward posture. The bullish strength is progressively building momentum, showing initial signs of strength.

Future Projection: If the morning session can reclaim the 3650-3680 range and stabilize, it is likely to continue testing the 3735 and previous high resistance levels; conversely, if it encounters resistance and falls back within this range, the price may return to oscillation, even testing the 3550 support level downward.

In terms of strategy, focus on the breakout situation of the 3650-3680 range. After stabilizing, consider entering long positions with light exposure, targeting 3735 and higher, with a stop-loss reference below 3600.

Conclusion: Fluctuations Are the Brewing of Opportunities, Patience Is the Premise of Profit

The current market is at a critical stage of the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Whether it is Bitcoin at the 114000 level or Ethereum at the 3600 level, both carry the weight of short-term directional choices. In a volatile market, blindly chasing highs and lows can easily lead to being trapped, while accurately grasping support and resistance levels and waiting for clear signals can lock in profits amid fluctuations.

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If you are feeling lost — not understanding the technology, not knowing how to read the market, unsure when to enter, not knowing how to set stop-losses, not understanding take-profit strategies, randomly increasing positions, getting trapped while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don't worry, I can help you establish the right trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing losses. Instead of frequent operations, precise strikes make each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code below the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to steadily moving forward with you in the market.

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