What Wu Xiong said is very correct. From a macro perspective, monetary tightening is generally associated with higher risks. However, in reality, we still saw the "Seven Sisters" in the US stock market driving new highs, and in the cryptocurrency space, $BTC stood out on its own. Relying solely on macro information is only feasible for complete long-cycle trading, such as clearing positions in December 2021, gradually building positions in 2022, and holding until monetary easing. Although this may not yield the highest returns, the returns will definitely not be poor.

For swing trading, more factors need to be considered. For instance, the biggest variable in this cycle is Trump, so one must consider Trump's goals and market liquidity. Currently, under the macro conditions, altcoins and alt stocks are indeed struggling due to liquidity constraints.

However, this does not mean that there is no money in the market. Wherever the market's hotspots are, those assets become defensive assets. The AI in the US stock market and Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency market follow this principle. Trump's TACO is part of micro trading.

The tariff war between China and the US is a negative factor, while negotiations become a positive factor. Trump's intention to dismiss Powell is interpreted as positive for the stock market but negative for the bond market. The Middle East war affecting oil supply is a negative factor; even if no one dies, it is still a negative factor. However, as long as it does not impact oil, the market may ignore it at a higher level.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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