The essence of trading is survival, and only then comes profit. Therefore, before each operation, think carefully about whether your actions are reasonable and whether your capital is safe. You need to develop a trading mindset that belongs to you, continuously optimizing and improving it. Although the suggestions from the crypto circle academicians may not make you rich overnight, they can help you persist. Only those who survive in the crypto space for the long term and stick it out until the end can achieve the results they desire. I hope you understand this.
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Crypto Circle Academician: July 18, 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) Latest Market Analysis
The current price of Bitcoin is 118,750. It is now 1:30 AM Beijing time. Yesterday, I mentioned that if Bitcoin surpasses 120,000, one can consider going south. This thought process remains valid. As long as the historical high is not broken, there can be two to three opportunities to test the waters above 120,000. If wrong, exit with a small loss; if right, the profits will be quite objective. Remember, do not trade with emotions; survival comes first.
Before the publication, the daily K-line reached a maximum of 119,200 and a minimum of 117,450. The EMA15 trend support has now come to 114,900, and the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.786 supports 113,000. The MACD shows a top divergence trend. The current positions of DIF and DEA indicate that the bullish trend still holds a certain advantage. There is a high probability that the main force will challenge the upper Bollinger Band resistance at 122,150. There is a 2,000-point space from 120,000 to 122,000, and it is safest to test the waters in two parts in this range.
The four-hour K-line has formed a trend of a rising triangle contraction. Whether it will form an early head and shoulders pattern is still uncertain; it depends on whether the main force can break the EMA60 trend support at 116,000. The top divergence trend has persisted for some time. The DIF and DEA have approached the 0 axis, coupled with reduced volume and the contraction of the Bollinger Band. The upper resistance has reached 120,500, and the lower support has come to 116,000. The entry points for going south and north have been identified; one can wait for the main force to arrive before entering.
Short-term reference: The market is never 100% certain, so always set stop-losses. Safety comes first; small losses and big gains are the goal.
For the southward test point, if it breaks 121,000 to 122,000, defend at 123,000, with a stop-loss of 300 points. The target is 120,000 to 119,000, and if it breaks, look at 118,000 to 117,000.
For the northward reference point, if it breaks 116,000 to 115,500, defend at 115,000, with a stop-loss of 500 points. The target is 118,500 to 119,500, and if it breaks, look at 120,000 to 121,000.
Specific operations should be based on real-time market data. For more information, you can consult the author. There may be delays in article publication; the suggestions are for reference only, and risks are borne by the reader.
This article is exclusively contributed by the Crypto Circle Academician and represents the unique views of the Academician. In-depth research has been conducted on BTC, ETH, DOGE, DOT, FIL, EOS, etc. Due to the timing of the article's release, the above views and suggestions may not be real-time and are for reference only. Risks are borne by the reader. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. The Academician also hopes that all investors understand that the market is always right. If you make a mistake, you should reflect on where the problem lies. Do not let the profits that should be yours slip away. There is no need to be smarter than the market. When a trend comes, respond to it; when there is no trend, observe and remain calm. It is not too late to act once the trend becomes clear. Tomorrow's success stems from today's choices. Heaven rewards diligence, the earth rewards kindness, humanity rewards sincerity, business rewards trust, industry rewards excellence, and art rewards passion. Gains and losses often occur unexpectedly. Develop the habit of strictly setting stop-losses and take-profits for each trade. The Crypto Circle Academician wishes you happy investing!
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