Earlier, some friends mentioned that interest rate cuts are a positive sign. I don't completely agree; I've written about this before. In 2023, I wrote an article called "The Last Drop," and a few days ago, I added some insights on why high interest rates can be detrimental to the economy.

In fact, these situations are probabilistic. It’s not that an interest rate cut is necessarily good or bad; it should be viewed in conjunction with the economic situation. If the cut is due to an economic recession, then it is negative.

If the Federal Reserve believes inflation is decreasing and initiates a rate cut, then it is positive. Therefore, simply stating that an interest rate cut will definitely trigger a bull market is incorrect; this kind of thinking can be quite dangerous.

This is not a bearish view, but rather an explanation of a fact. Additionally, the market often performs well in the early stages of a rate cut. Interested friends can try running some simulations with ChatGPT.

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