Today, I spent the whole day watching the drama unfold, but what struck me the most was seeing some friends go from thriving to poverty. The main reason is that they mistook luck for their own ability. There’s a saying in the crypto world: money earned by luck can be lost by skill.

I remember when I mentioned buying $BTC, a friend told me that even if BTC rises to $200,000, it would only be a few times the return. I came to the crypto world to change my fate, not just to earn 5x or 10x. I understand that many friends often say Bitcoin is not for retail investors; retail investors should chase Memes and shitcoins to achieve significant results, and indeed, many have achieved great results.

Now, the only way for young people to get rich quickly is through Memes and shitcoins, and I do agree with this. I have a few friends who have achieved great results, but life is still long. Achieving great results is already very difficult, and maintaining those results may be even harder, unless one truly exits the market.

Today, a friend told me that young people should work hard for six months, save money, and then invest in shitcoins. If they win, they can turn their fortunes around; if they lose, they just continue working. Being at the bottom, there’s nothing more to lose.

Regarding this viewpoint, perhaps I’m getting old, but I find it hard to accept, at least personally. I always believe that even in gambling, you need to know when to keep your chips on the table to have a chance to win. Once you can’t even get to the table, no matter how big the opportunity is, it may have nothing to do with you.

Working for six months to save money sounds good, but how many opportunities in life allow you to save money? You have to avoid getting sick, not fall in love, reduce entertainment, cut back on socializing, and save money desperately, then wait for a big opportunity to strike. It’s not impossible, but I feel this method is just saving the cost of a plane ticket to Macau.

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