I am currently continuing to follow the progress of the stablecoin bill. Even if the GENIUS bill passes in the Senate, it is only the first step in the legislative process, and it still needs to be reviewed by the House of Representatives. Moreover, the bill itself is primarily drafted by the Republican Party, with strong backing from Trump and his pro-market camp.

According to the current congressional schedule and historical experience, it is expected to take 2 to 3 months from Senate approval to House review, and then to be signed by the President. If the process goes smoothly, there is hope for the legislation to be completed in the third quarter of this year. However, if there are amendments to the text or internal party disputes, it could be delayed until the end of the year or even early next year.

Therefore, the current Senate approval is more of a strong policy signal, and there is still a way to go before it becomes federal law.

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